Stock Analysis

Is Comelf S.A. (BVB:CMF) A Risky Dividend Stock?

BVB:CMF
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Is Comelf S.A. (BVB:CMF) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. Yet sometimes, investors buy a stock for its dividend and lose money because the share price falls by more than they earned in dividend payments.

With a six-year payment history and a 3.8% yield, many investors probably find Comelf intriguing. It sure looks interesting on these metrics - but there's always more to the story. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Comelf for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

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BVB:CMF Historic Dividend December 31st 2020

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Comelf paid out 68% of its profit as dividends, over the trailing twelve month period. This is a healthy payout ratio, and while it does limit the amount of earnings that can be reinvested in the business, there is also some room to lift the payout ratio over time.

Consider getting our latest analysis on Comelf's financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. Comelf has been paying a dividend for the past six years. It's good to see that Comelf has been paying a dividend for a number of years. However, the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, and we're concerned that what has been cut once, could be cut again. During the past six-year period, the first annual payment was RON0.2 in 2014, compared to RON0.07 last year. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 65% over that time.

We struggle to make a case for buying Comelf for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past six years.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Comelf's EPS have fallen by approximately 28% per year during the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective, as even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that Comelf's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. Comelf's payout ratio is within an average range for most market participants. Earnings per share are down, and Comelf's dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. In summary, we're unenthused by Comelf as a dividend stock. It's not that we think it is a bad company; it simply falls short of our criteria in some key areas.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Comelf has 4 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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