Erste Group Bank AG

BVB:EBS Stock Report

Market Cap: RON 118.2b

Erste Group Bank Valuation

Is EBS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EBS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EBS (RON289.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (RON384.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EBS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EBS?

Key metric: As EBS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EBS. This is calculated by dividing EBS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EBS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.7x
Earnings€3.10b
Market Cap€23.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EBS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EBS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
TLV Banca Transilvania
5.5x-2.0%RON 24.1b
BRD BRD - Groupe Société Générale
8.7x3.6%RON 13.2b
NBK National Bank of KuwaitK.P
12.8x3.5%د.ك7.2b
PBK Patria Bank
6.9x22.7%RON 268.9m
EBS Erste Group Bank
7.7x-2.0%RON 23.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EBS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EBS 7.7xIndustry Avg. 7.6xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EBS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EBS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EBS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.7x
Fair PE Ratio8.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EBS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRON 289.60
RON 300.51
+3.8%
8.7%RON 353.12RON 256.69n/a15
Dec ’25RON 255.00
RON 293.77
+15.2%
7.4%RON 348.36RON 256.84n/a15
Nov ’25RON 256.00
RON 283.71
+10.8%
6.8%RON 338.28RON 256.75n/a15
Oct ’25RON 243.00
RON 276.98
+14.0%
8.6%RON 328.52RON 228.97n/a15
Sep ’25RON 245.00
RON 276.98
+13.1%
8.6%RON 328.52RON 228.97n/a15
Aug ’25RON 233.60
RON 259.94
+11.3%
9.7%RON 323.33RON 213.90n/a15
Jul ’25RON 224.50
RON 254.65
+13.4%
9.3%RON 298.67RON 214.05n/a15
Jun ’25RON 225.00
RON 251.69
+11.9%
9.3%RON 298.51RON 213.93n/a14
May ’25RON 218.90
RON 245.83
+12.3%
10.0%RON 298.58RON 213.98n/a14
Apr ’25RON 204.00
RON 235.56
+15.5%
11.5%RON 288.40RON 197.40n/a14
Mar ’25RON 187.05
RON 239.04
+27.8%
12.6%RON 298.08RON 197.23n/a15
Feb ’25RON 199.45
RON 235.12
+17.9%
11.9%RON 288.62RON 197.55n/a15
Jan ’25RON 181.80
RON 233.38
+28.4%
11.8%RON 288.08RON 197.18n/a15
Dec ’24RON 182.50
RON 232.81
+27.6%
10.8%RON 288.19RON 197.26RON 255.0015
Nov ’24RON 167.85
RON 230.77
+37.5%
11.3%RON 278.19RON 196.13RON 256.0014
Oct ’24RON 164.20
RON 228.60
+39.2%
11.6%RON 273.35RON 186.67RON 243.0014
Sep ’24RON 163.75
RON 227.20
+38.7%
11.2%RON 271.68RON 185.53RON 245.0015
Aug ’24RON 169.25
RON 226.04
+33.6%
11.1%RON 271.27RON 185.25RON 233.6015
Jul ’24RON 157.20
RON 219.40
+39.6%
13.3%RON 276.28RON 170.50RON 224.5015
Jun ’24RON 152.50
RON 219.40
+43.9%
13.3%RON 276.28RON 170.50RON 225.0015
May ’24RON 162.85
RON 219.00
+34.5%
13.4%RON 275.99RON 170.32RON 218.9015
Apr ’24RON 152.00
RON 215.54
+41.8%
14.3%RON 267.35RON 158.92RON 204.0016
Mar ’24RON 182.00
RON 208.83
+14.7%
15.9%RON 260.68RON 157.88RON 187.0516
Feb ’24RON 170.90
RON 204.82
+19.8%
15.7%RON 255.74RON 157.87RON 199.4516
Jan ’24RON 146.70
RON 202.47
+38.0%
16.1%RON 255.99RON 157.53RON 181.8016
Dec ’23RON 144.60
RON 202.64
+40.1%
16.1%RON 256.47RON 157.83RON 182.5016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 00:04
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Erste Group Bank AG is covered by 45 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dieter HeinAlphaValue
Krishnendra DubeyBarclays
Ivan BokhmatBarclays