Qatar Gas Transport Company Limited (Nakilat) (QPSC)

DSM:QGTS Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.ق22.4b

Qatar Gas Transport Company Limited (Nakilat) (QPSC) Valuation

Is QGTS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of QGTS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: QGTS (QAR4.04) is trading above our estimate of fair value (QAR1.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: QGTS is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for QGTS?

Key metric: As QGTS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for QGTS. This is calculated by dividing QGTS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is QGTS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.6x
Earningsر.ق1.64b
Market Capر.ق22.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does QGTS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for QGTS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.7x
QFLS Qatar Fuel Company Q.P.S.C. (WOQOD)
14.3x4.3%ر.ق15.0b
GISS Gulf International Services Q.P.S.C
10.7x13.9%ر.ق6.1b
601872 China Merchants Energy Shipping
11.9x19.2%CN¥52.9b
ENLC EnLink Midstream
65.8x61.3%US$7.0b
QGTS Qatar Gas Transport Company Limited (Nakilat) (QPSC)
13.6x10.0%ر.ق22.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: QGTS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does QGTS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QGTS 13.6xIndustry Avg. 10.6xNo. of Companies41PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: QGTS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is QGTS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

QGTS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio12.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: QGTS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst QGTS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.ق4.04
ر.ق5.16
+27.7%
8.3%ر.ق5.60ر.ق4.45n/a6
Dec ’25ر.ق4.19
ر.ق5.16
+23.2%
8.3%ر.ق5.60ر.ق4.45n/a6
Nov ’25ر.ق4.28
ر.ق5.16
+20.5%
8.3%ر.ق5.60ر.ق4.45n/a6
Oct ’25ر.ق4.33
ر.ق5.18
+19.5%
7.8%ر.ق5.60ر.ق4.55n/a6
Sep ’25ر.ق4.50
ر.ق5.18
+15.0%
7.8%ر.ق5.60ر.ق4.55n/a6
Aug ’25ر.ق4.49
ر.ق5.08
+13.1%
11.4%ر.ق5.60ر.ق3.96n/a6
Jul ’25ر.ق4.62
ر.ق5.08
+9.9%
11.4%ر.ق5.60ر.ق3.96n/a6
Jun ’25ر.ق3.96
ر.ق5.08
+28.1%
11.4%ر.ق5.60ر.ق3.96n/a6
May ’25ر.ق3.96
ر.ق4.66
+17.6%
11.3%ر.ق5.10ر.ق3.65n/a6
Apr ’25ر.ق3.95
ر.ق4.66
+18.0%
11.3%ر.ق5.10ر.ق3.65n/a6
Mar ’25ر.ق4.00
ر.ق4.66
+16.5%
11.3%ر.ق5.10ر.ق3.65n/a6
Feb ’25ر.ق3.43
ر.ق4.39
+27.9%
7.0%ر.ق4.80ر.ق4.02n/a6
Jan ’25ر.ق3.52
ر.ق4.33
+23.0%
8.1%ر.ق4.82ر.ق3.83n/a5
Dec ’24ر.ق3.24
ر.ق4.33
+33.6%
8.1%ر.ق4.82ر.ق3.83ر.ق4.195
Nov ’24ر.ق3.49
ر.ق4.33
+23.9%
8.1%ر.ق4.82ر.ق3.83ر.ق4.285
Oct ’24ر.ق3.73
ر.ق4.60
+23.5%
10.1%ر.ق5.50ر.ق4.10ر.ق4.336
Sep ’24ر.ق3.71
ر.ق4.60
+24.1%
10.1%ر.ق5.50ر.ق4.10ر.ق4.506
Aug ’24ر.ق4.17
ر.ق4.46
+6.8%
12.5%ر.ق5.50ر.ق3.69ر.ق4.496
Jul ’24ر.ق4.07
ر.ق4.45
+9.3%
12.5%ر.ق5.50ر.ق3.69ر.ق4.626
Jun ’24ر.ق3.99
ر.ق4.36
+9.2%
13.0%ر.ق5.50ر.ق3.69ر.ق3.966
May ’24ر.ق3.90
ر.ق4.36
+11.8%
13.0%ر.ق5.50ر.ق3.69ر.ق3.966
Apr ’24ر.ق3.46
ر.ق4.13
+19.5%
7.2%ر.ق4.55ر.ق3.65ر.ق3.955
Mar ’24ر.ق3.66
ر.ق4.13
+12.9%
7.2%ر.ق4.55ر.ق3.65ر.ق4.005
Feb ’24ر.ق3.79
ر.ق4.06
+7.0%
8.9%ر.ق4.55ر.ق3.43ر.ق3.435
Jan ’24ر.ق3.66
ر.ق4.06
+10.8%
8.9%ر.ق4.55ر.ق3.43ر.ق3.525
Dec ’23ر.ق3.90
ر.ق4.05
+3.8%
8.6%ر.ق4.50ر.ق3.43ر.ق3.245

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 03:25
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/25 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Qatar Gas Transport Company Limited (Nakilat) (QPSC) is covered by 15 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Salma KharbachiAlphaMena
Ali AfifiArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Tibor BokorArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.