China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd.

SHSE:601872 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥55.0b

China Merchants Energy Shipping Valuation

Is 601872 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 601872 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 601872 (CN¥6.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥10.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 601872 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601872?

Key metric: As 601872 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 601872. This is calculated by dividing 601872's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 601872's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsCN¥4.45b
Market CapCN¥54.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 601872's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 601872 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.8x
600098 Guangzhou Development Group
14.1x14.2%CN¥23.9b
002221 Oriental Energy
95.3x68.8%CN¥15.7b
605090 Jiangxi Jovo Energy
10.3x8.6%CN¥17.5b
601975 Nanjing Tanker
7.8x6.1%CN¥15.6b
601872 China Merchants Energy Shipping
12.4x19.2%CN¥55.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 601872 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (31.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 601872's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
601872 12.4xIndustry Avg. 13.3xNo. of Companies10PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 601872 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the CN Oil and Gas industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 601872's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

601872 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 601872 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 601872 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥6.75
CN¥9.14
+35.4%
10.8%CN¥10.00CN¥7.40n/a5
Nov ’25CN¥6.87
CN¥9.48
+38.0%
11.3%CN¥10.40CN¥7.40n/a5
Oct ’25CN¥8.04
CN¥10.00
+24.4%
2.5%CN¥10.40CN¥9.60n/a5
Sep ’25CN¥7.51
CN¥10.00
+33.2%
2.5%CN¥10.40CN¥9.60n/a5
Aug ’25CN¥7.74
CN¥10.34
+33.6%
5.9%CN¥11.00CN¥9.60n/a5
Jul ’25CN¥8.73
CN¥10.14
+16.2%
7.0%CN¥11.00CN¥9.40n/a5
Jun ’25CN¥8.87
CN¥10.14
+14.3%
7.0%CN¥11.00CN¥9.40n/a5
May ’25CN¥8.53
CN¥9.86
+15.6%
5.9%CN¥11.00CN¥9.40n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥7.96
CN¥9.05
+13.7%
7.9%CN¥9.70CN¥7.90n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥7.21
CN¥8.55
+18.6%
4.7%CN¥9.00CN¥7.90n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥6.37
CN¥8.55
+34.2%
4.7%CN¥9.00CN¥7.90n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥5.88
CN¥8.55
+45.4%
4.7%CN¥9.00CN¥7.90n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥5.99
CN¥8.45
+41.1%
6.7%CN¥9.00CN¥7.50n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥6.43
CN¥8.45
+31.4%
6.7%CN¥9.00CN¥7.50CN¥6.874
Oct ’24CN¥6.43
CN¥8.73
+35.7%
8.2%CN¥9.30CN¥7.50CN¥8.044
Sep ’24CN¥6.12
CN¥8.58
+40.2%
8.2%CN¥9.30CN¥7.50CN¥7.515
Aug ’24CN¥6.59
CN¥8.86
+34.4%
11.8%CN¥10.50CN¥7.50CN¥7.745
Jul ’24CN¥5.79
CN¥8.86
+53.0%
11.8%CN¥10.50CN¥7.50CN¥8.735
Jun ’24CN¥5.71
CN¥8.86
+55.2%
11.8%CN¥10.50CN¥7.50CN¥8.875
May ’24CN¥6.63
CN¥9.02
+36.0%
9.7%CN¥10.50CN¥8.00CN¥8.535
Apr ’24CN¥7.01
CN¥8.92
+27.2%
11.3%CN¥10.50CN¥7.50CN¥7.965
Mar ’24CN¥7.62
CN¥8.78
+15.2%
9.2%CN¥9.80CN¥7.50CN¥7.215
Feb ’24CN¥6.55
CN¥8.32
+27.0%
15.3%CN¥9.80CN¥6.68CN¥6.374
Jan ’24CN¥5.59
CN¥9.58
+71.4%
10.4%CN¥11.00CN¥8.22CN¥5.884
Dec ’23CN¥6.44
CN¥9.58
+48.8%
10.4%CN¥11.00CN¥8.22CN¥5.994
Nov ’23CN¥6.95
CN¥9.58
+37.8%
10.4%CN¥11.00CN¥8.22CN¥6.434

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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