Oriental Energy Co., Ltd.

SZSE:002221 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥15.7b

Oriental Energy Valuation

Is 002221 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002221 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002221 (CN¥9.99) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002221 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002221?

Key metric: As 002221 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002221. This is calculated by dividing 002221's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002221's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio95.3x
EarningsCN¥165.25m
Market CapCN¥15.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002221's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002221 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.1x
605090 Jiangxi Jovo Energy
10.3x8.6%CN¥17.5b
601975 Nanjing Tanker
7.8x6.1%CN¥15.6b
600098 Guangzhou Development Group
14.1x14.2%CN¥23.9b
601872 China Merchants Energy Shipping
12.4x19.2%CN¥55.0b
002221 Oriental Energy
95.3x68.8%CN¥15.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002221 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (95.3x) compared to the peer average (11.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002221's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
002221 95.3xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies10PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002221 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (95.3x) compared to the CN Oil and Gas industry average (13.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002221's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002221 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio95.3x
Fair PE Ratio31.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002221 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (95.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002221 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥9.99
CN¥10.76
+7.7%
30.6%CN¥13.19CN¥6.10n/a3
Nov ’25CN¥8.72
CN¥10.76
+23.4%
30.6%CN¥13.19CN¥6.10n/a3
Oct ’25CN¥9.70
CN¥9.65
-0.6%
36.8%CN¥13.19CN¥6.10n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥8.56
CN¥9.65
+12.7%
36.8%CN¥13.19CN¥6.10n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥8.21
CN¥9.65
+17.5%
36.8%CN¥13.19CN¥6.10n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥8.24
CN¥9.95
+20.7%
32.6%CN¥13.19CN¥6.70n/a2
May ’25CN¥9.16
CN¥9.35
+2.1%
28.3%CN¥12.00CN¥6.70n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥9.17
CN¥9.90
+8.0%
23.2%CN¥12.00CN¥6.70n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥9.90
CN¥9.90
0%
23.2%CN¥12.00CN¥6.70n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥9.52
CN¥9.90
+4.0%
23.2%CN¥12.00CN¥6.70n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥10.30
CN¥10.20
-1.0%
18.5%CN¥12.00CN¥7.60n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥11.00
CN¥10.17
-7.5%
16.0%CN¥12.00CN¥7.60n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥10.52
CN¥10.17
-3.3%
16.0%CN¥12.00CN¥7.60CN¥8.724
Oct ’24CN¥10.00
CN¥10.17
+1.7%
16.0%CN¥12.00CN¥7.60CN¥9.704
Sep ’24CN¥10.54
CN¥9.56
-9.3%
15.0%CN¥11.00CN¥7.60CN¥8.563
Aug ’24CN¥9.15
CN¥8.84
-3.4%
14.0%CN¥10.08CN¥7.60CN¥8.212
Jul ’24CN¥8.65
CN¥8.84
+2.2%
14.0%CN¥10.08CN¥7.60CN¥8.242
Jun ’24CN¥8.38
CN¥8.84
+5.5%
14.0%CN¥10.08CN¥7.60CN¥9.042
Apr ’24CN¥8.81
CN¥14.00
+58.9%
31.4%CN¥18.40CN¥9.60CN¥9.172
Mar ’24CN¥8.78
CN¥14.00
+59.5%
31.4%CN¥18.40CN¥9.60CN¥9.902
Feb ’24CN¥9.24
CN¥14.00
+51.5%
31.4%CN¥18.40CN¥9.60CN¥9.522
Jan ’24CN¥7.63
CN¥14.00
+83.5%
31.4%CN¥18.40CN¥9.60CN¥10.302
Dec ’23CN¥8.55
CN¥14.00
+63.7%
31.4%CN¥18.40CN¥9.60CN¥11.002
Nov ’23CN¥8.34
CN¥14.10
+69.1%
30.5%CN¥18.40CN¥9.80CN¥10.522

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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