Stock Analysis

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A.'s (ELI:NOS) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?

ENXTLS:NOS
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Most readers would already be aware that NOS S.G.P.S' (ELI:NOS) stock increased significantly by 13% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to NOS S.G.P.S' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for NOS S.G.P.S

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How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NOS S.G.P.S is:

21% = €225m ÷ €1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every €1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn €0.21 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of NOS S.G.P.S' Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

To begin with, NOS S.G.P.S has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 14% the company's ROE is quite impressive. This probably laid the groundwork for NOS S.G.P.S' moderate 7.0% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that NOS S.G.P.S' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
ENXTLS:NOS Past Earnings Growth March 15th 2023

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is NOS worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether NOS is currently mispriced by the market.

Is NOS S.G.P.S Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

NOS S.G.P.S' high three-year median payout ratio of 111% suggests that the company is paying out more to its shareholders than what it is making. Still the company's earnings have grown respectably. Although, the high payout ratio is certainly something we would keep an eye on if the company is not able to keep up its growth, or if business deteriorates. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for NOS S.G.P.S by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Additionally, NOS S.G.P.S has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 90%. Still, forecasts suggest that NOS S.G.P.S' future ROE will drop to 14% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that NOS S.G.P.S certainly does have some positive factors to consider. The company has grown its earnings moderately as a result of its impressive ROE. Yet, the business is retaining hardly any of its profits. This might have negative implications on the company's future growth. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NOS S.G.P.S might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.