When Should You Buy Altri, SGPS, S.A. (ELI:ALTR)?

While Altri, SGPS, S.A. (ELI:ALTR) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ENXTLS, rising to highs of €6.59 and falling to the lows of €5.14. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Altri SGPS' current trading price of €5.14 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Altri SGPS’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Altri SGPS

What Is Altri SGPS Worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 11.06% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Altri SGPS today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €4.62, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Altri SGPS’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Altri SGPS generate?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Altri SGPS, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Currently, ALTR appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ALTR for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on ALTR should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Altri SGPS you should be mindful of and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.

If you are no longer interested in Altri SGPS, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.