Pkp Cargo Valuation
Is PKP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of PKP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: PKP (PLN12.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN42.18)
Significantly Below Fair Value: PKP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PKP?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is PKP's n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | zł539.23m |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.6x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 3.2x |
PEG Ratio | 0.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does PKP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 6.8x | ||
STX Stalexport Autostrady | 6.6x | n/a | zł717.1m |
OTS OT Logistics | 2.8x | n/a | zł444.0m |
XBS XBS PRO-LOG | 12x | n/a | zł112.0m |
ENT Enter Air Sp. z o.o | 5.9x | n/a | zł1.2b |
PKP Pkp Cargo | 6.6x | 34.2% | zł539.2m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PKP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does PKP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PKP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (11x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is PKP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 6.6x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PKP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | zł12.04 | zł12.00 -0.3% | 7.5% | zł12.90 | zł11.10 | n/a | 2 |
Apr ’25 | zł13.08 | zł12.00 -8.3% | 7.5% | zł12.90 | zł11.10 | n/a | 2 |
Mar ’25 | zł13.98 | zł13.75 -1.6% | 19.3% | zł16.40 | zł11.10 | n/a | 2 |
Feb ’25 | zł14.14 | zł13.75 -2.8% | 19.3% | zł16.40 | zł11.10 | n/a | 2 |
Jan ’25 | zł14.58 | zł13.75 -5.7% | 19.3% | zł16.40 | zł11.10 | n/a | 2 |
Dec ’24 | zł15.20 | zł16.00 +5.3% | 2.5% | zł16.40 | zł15.60 | n/a | 2 |
Nov ’24 | zł15.36 | zł16.80 +9.4% | 7.1% | zł18.00 | zł15.60 | n/a | 2 |
Oct ’24 | zł14.72 | zł16.80 +14.1% | 7.1% | zł18.00 | zł15.60 | n/a | 2 |
Sep ’24 | zł15.06 | zł16.80 +11.6% | 7.1% | zł18.00 | zł15.60 | n/a | 2 |
Aug ’24 | zł16.52 | zł16.80 +1.7% | 7.1% | zł18.00 | zł15.60 | n/a | 2 |
Jul ’24 | zł17.16 | zł16.80 -2.1% | 7.1% | zł18.00 | zł15.60 | n/a | 2 |
Jun ’24 | zł17.60 | zł16.80 -4.5% | 7.1% | zł18.00 | zł15.60 | n/a | 2 |
May ’24 | zł15.82 | zł14.55 -8.0% | 7.2% | zł15.60 | zł13.50 | zł12.06 | 2 |
Apr ’24 | zł16.01 | zł14.80 -7.6% | 5.4% | zł15.60 | zł14.00 | zł13.08 | 2 |
Mar ’24 | zł15.20 | zł14.55 -4.3% | 7.2% | zł15.60 | zł13.50 | zł13.98 | 2 |
Feb ’24 | zł14.48 | zł14.55 +0.5% | 7.2% | zł15.60 | zł13.50 | zł14.14 | 2 |
Jan ’24 | zł14.50 | zł14.55 +0.3% | 7.2% | zł15.60 | zł13.50 | zł14.58 | 2 |
Dec ’23 | zł14.24 | zł13.39 -6.0% | 11.7% | zł15.60 | zł12.16 | zł15.20 | 3 |
Nov ’23 | zł12.20 | zł11.25 -7.8% | 5.9% | zł12.16 | zł10.60 | zł15.36 | 3 |
Oct ’23 | zł10.80 | zł11.25 +4.2% | 5.9% | zł12.16 | zł10.60 | zł14.72 | 3 |
Sep ’23 | zł12.30 | zł11.25 -8.5% | 5.9% | zł12.16 | zł10.60 | zł15.06 | 3 |
Aug ’23 | zł14.69 | zł11.25 -23.4% | 5.9% | zł12.16 | zł10.60 | zł16.52 | 3 |
Jul ’23 | zł10.99 | zł11.25 +2.4% | 5.9% | zł12.16 | zł10.60 | zł17.16 | 3 |
Jun ’23 | zł11.80 | zł12.92 +9.5% | 15.2% | zł16.21 | zł11.00 | zł17.60 | 4 |
May ’23 | zł11.65 | zł12.92 +10.9% | 15.2% | zł16.21 | zł11.00 | zł15.82 | 4 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.