Pkp Cargo Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Pkp Cargo is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 34.2% and 0.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 28.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.4% in 3 years.

Key information

34.2%

Earnings growth rate

28.6%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	14.4%
Revenue growth rate	0.5%
Future return on equity	4.4%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	30 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

If You Had Bought Pkp Cargo's (WSE:PKP) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 77%

Feb 05

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)?

Jan 15

What Kind Of Investors Own Most Of Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)?

Dec 24

Is Pkp Cargo (WSE:PKP) A Risky Investment?

Nov 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

WSE:PKP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PLN Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	5,867	154	217	1,098	2
12/31/2025	5,785	168	209	982	2
12/31/2024	5,427	30	150	872	2
12/31/2023	5,492	82	-148	1,211	N/A
9/30/2023	5,744	255	433	1,536	N/A
6/30/2023	5,838	300	409	1,394	N/A
3/31/2023	5,788	300	424	1,278	N/A
12/31/2022	5,390	148	162	1,018	N/A
9/30/2022	4,935	-76	105	958	N/A
6/30/2022	4,672	-138	-80	829	N/A
3/31/2022	4,437	-202	-208	680	N/A
12/31/2021	4,267	-225	-109	700	N/A
9/30/2021	4,247	-201	-355	486	N/A
6/30/2021	4,157	-162	-181	526	N/A
3/31/2021	4,036	-181	-141	508	N/A
12/31/2020	4,076	-224	-166	553	N/A
9/30/2020	4,139	-239	-103	624	N/A
6/30/2020	4,321	-204	-234	669	N/A
3/31/2020	4,556	-131	-260	747	N/A
12/31/2019	4,782	36	-239	807	N/A
9/30/2019	4,994	88	-206	821	N/A
6/30/2019	5,122	142	-72	826	N/A
3/31/2019	5,239	201	12	827	N/A
12/31/2018	5,183	184	143	863	N/A
9/30/2018	5,059	224	96	748	N/A
6/30/2018	4,928	152	124	745	N/A
3/31/2018	4,806	119	121	706	N/A
12/31/2017	4,689	82	90	601	N/A
9/30/2017	4,620	119	N/A	706	N/A
6/30/2017	4,518	81	N/A	610	N/A
3/31/2017	4,438	-69	N/A	585	N/A
12/31/2016	4,374	-134	N/A	380	N/A
9/30/2016	4,445	-398	N/A	409	N/A
6/30/2016	4,557	-328	N/A	387	N/A
3/31/2016	4,502	-58	N/A	432	N/A
12/31/2015	4,368	30	N/A	388	N/A
9/30/2015	4,188	77	N/A	312	N/A
6/30/2015	4,055	112	N/A	444	N/A
3/31/2015	4,089	41	N/A	363	N/A
12/31/2014	4,219	76	N/A	560	N/A
9/30/2014	4,375	304	N/A	600	N/A
6/30/2014	4,535	124	N/A	542	N/A
3/31/2014	4,695	127	N/A	612	N/A
12/31/2013	4,723	74	N/A	700	N/A
9/30/2013	4,821	10	N/A	711	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PKP's forecast earnings growth (34.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: PKP's earnings (34.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Polish market (13.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PKP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PKP's revenue (0.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Polish market (4.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PKP's revenue (0.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PKP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.4%).

Pkp Cargo Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 13% to zł12.00

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 665%, revenue downgraded

Price target decreased by 18% to zł13.75

Price target increased by 7.1% to zł15.85

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 57%

Price target increased to zł13.39

Recent updates

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: zł1.83 (vs zł3.31 in FY 2022)

Price target decreased by 13% to zł12.00

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)?

Pkp Cargo S.A. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 23, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 665%, revenue downgraded

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Price target decreased by 18% to zł13.75

New major risk - Financial position

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: zł0.17 loss per share (vs zł0.84 profit in 3Q 2022)

At zł15.70, Is Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP) Worth Looking At Closely?

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: zł0.12 (vs zł0.12 in 2Q 2022)

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: zł2.33 (vs zł1.06 loss in 1Q 2022)

Pkp Cargo S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2023

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)?

Price target increased by 7.1% to zł15.85

These Return Metrics Don't Make Pkp Cargo (WSE:PKP) Look Too Strong

Now 23% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

Estimating The Fair Value Of Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)

Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP) agreed to acquire Assets Of Alstom Pojazdy Szynowe from Bombardier Transportation Polska Sp. z o.o. for PLN 13.5 million.

Pkp Cargo S.A. to Report Q1, 2023 Results on May 26, 2023

Some Investors May Be Worried About Pkp Cargo's (WSE:PKP) Returns On Capital

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 57%

Price target increased to zł13.39

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: zł0.84 (vs zł0.53 loss in 3Q 2021)

Is Pkp Cargo (WSE:PKP) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)?

A Look At The Fair Value Of Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)

PKP Cargo Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

Price target decreased to zł11.25

Pkp Cargo S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Price target decreased to zł12.92

PKP Cargo Picks Jacek Rutkowski as Management Board Member

PKP Cargo Appoints Dariusz Seliga as New CEO

Pkp Cargo S.A. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 24, 2022

Pkp Cargo S.A. to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 26, 2022

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

PKP Polskie Linie Kolejowe S.A. signed a letter of intent to acquire CARGOTOR Sp. z o.o. from Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP).

Third quarter 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Price target decreased to zł14.14

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: zł1.31 loss per share (vs zł1.73 loss in 2Q 2020)

Pkp Cargo S.A. Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the First Half 2021

First quarter 2021 earnings released: zł1.59 loss per share (vs zł2.55 loss in 1Q 2020)

Agencja Rozwoju Przemyslu S.A., Polska Liga Koszykówki S.A. and Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP) launched a tender offer to acquire 32.8% stake in Trakcja PRKiI S.A. (WSE:TRK) from COMSA Corporación de Infraestructuras, S.L.

Price target increased to zł16.94

Pkp Cargo S.A. Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter 2021

Pkp Cargo Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2021

Full year 2020 earnings released: zł5.01 loss per share (vs zł0.80 profit in FY 2019)

Does It Make Sense To Buy Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP) For Its Yield?

Are Investors Undervaluing Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP) By 27%?

New 90-day high: zł16.32

If You Had Bought Pkp Cargo's (WSE:PKP) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 77%

Pkp Cargo S.A. to Report Q1, 2021 Results on May 21, 2021

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)?

Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP) signed a letter of intent to acquire Gniewczyna rolling stock factory from FORESPO POLAND, a.s.

What Kind Of Investors Own Most Of Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP)?

Pkp Cargo Deals with Poland's Railway Infrastructure Operator PKP PLK

New 90-day high: zł13.16

Is Pkp Cargo (WSE:PKP) A Risky Investment?

Revenue and earnings miss expectations

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS zł0.35

New 90-day low: zł10.60

PKP Cargo Lands Two 3-Year Contracts with ArcelorMittal Poland and ArcelorMittal Warszawa

Price target raised to zł16.85

Pkp Cargo S.A. (WSE:PKP) signed a letter of intent to acquire part of Fabryka Wagonow Gniewczyna S.A.

Pkp Cargo S.A. to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 20, 2020

New 90-day low: zł11.20

New 90-day low - zł12.38