Stock Analysis

Here's Why VIGO Photonics (WSE:VGO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

WSE:VGO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that VIGO Photonics S.A. (WSE:VGO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for VIGO Photonics

What Is VIGO Photonics's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 VIGO Photonics had zł42.2m of debt, an increase on zł29.9m, over one year. However, it also had zł4.08m in cash, and so its net debt is zł38.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:VGO Debt to Equity History November 3rd 2022

A Look At VIGO Photonics' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that VIGO Photonics had liabilities of zł36.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł61.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł4.08m as well as receivables valued at zł16.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł77.4m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since VIGO Photonics has a market capitalization of zł333.9m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

VIGO Photonics's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.7 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 26.0 times, makes us even more comfortable. Shareholders should be aware that VIGO Photonics's EBIT was down 26% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine VIGO Photonics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, VIGO Photonics burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both VIGO Photonics's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that VIGO Photonics's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that VIGO Photonics is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.