Stock Analysis

Suntech's (WSE:SUN) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

WSE:SUN
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The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Suntech S.A. (WSE:SUN) recently. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.

Check out our latest analysis for Suntech

earnings-and-revenue-history
WSE:SUN Earnings and Revenue History February 22nd 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Suntech's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Suntech has an accrual ratio of 0.62 for the year to December 2023. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of zł6.35m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through zł4.9m in the last year. It's worth noting that Suntech generated positive FCF of zł2.4m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Suntech.

Our Take On Suntech's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Suntech's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Suntech's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Suntech (1 is concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Suntech's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Suntech is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.