Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Sevenet S.A. (WSE:SEV) With Shares Advancing 33%

WSE:SEV
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Despite an already strong run, Sevenet S.A. (WSE:SEV) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 50%.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Sevenet's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Poland, where the median P/E ratio is around 13x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sevenet as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Sevenet

pe-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:SEV Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sevenet's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For Sevenet?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sevenet would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 269% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 47% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Sevenet's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Sevenet's P/E is also back up to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Sevenet revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sevenet (at least 2 which are significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.