Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Sescom's (WSE:SES) Statutory Earnings Might Be Conservative

WSE:SES
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Sescom (WSE:SES).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Sescom made a profit of zł4.61m on revenue of zł137.5m. In the chart below, you can see that its profit and revenue have both grown over the last three years, although its profit has slipped in the last twelve months.

Check out our latest analysis for Sescom

earnings-and-revenue-history
WSE:SES Earnings and Revenue History January 25th 2021

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. So today we'll look at what Sescom's cashflow tells us about the quality of its earnings. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sescom.

Zooming In On Sescom's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to June 2020, Sescom recorded an accrual ratio of -0.26. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of zł13m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of zł4.61m. Sescom shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Our Take On Sescom's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Sescom produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Sescom's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 14% per year over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Sescom as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Sescom you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Sescom's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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