Stock Analysis

Fintech (WSE:FTH) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

WSE:FTH
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Fintech (WSE:FTH) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

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How Long Is Fintech's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at March 2023, Fintech had cash of zł2.2m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through zł1.2m. That means it had a cash runway of around 22 months as of March 2023. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:FTH Debt to Equity History July 8th 2023

How Is Fintech's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Fintech has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced zł24m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. The skyrocketing cash burn up 166% year on year certainly tests our nerves. That sort of spending growth rate can't continue for very long before it causes balance sheet weakness, generally speaking. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how Fintech is building its business over time.

Can Fintech Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Fintech shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of zł82m, Fintech's zł1.2m in cash burn equates to about 1.5% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About Fintech's Cash Burn?

On this analysis of Fintech's cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Fintech's situation. On another note, Fintech has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course Fintech may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.