Cloud Technologies S.A.'s (WSE:CLD) 36% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
The Cloud Technologies S.A. (WSE:CLD) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 36%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 18% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, Cloud Technologies' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Poland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Cloud Technologies has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Cloud Technologies
Is There Enough Growth For Cloud Technologies?
Cloud Technologies' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 51% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that Cloud Technologies' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Cloud Technologies' P/E?
Cloud Technologies' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Cloud Technologies currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Cloud Technologies that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Cloud Technologies. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:CLD
Cloud Technologies
Engages in the big data marketing and data monetization businesses.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.
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