Stock Analysis

Pepco Group N.V.'s (WSE:PCO) market cap dropped zł1.2b last week; Public companies bore the brunt

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WSE:PCO
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Key Insights

  • The considerable ownership by public companies in Pepco Group indicates that they collectively have a greater say in management and business strategy
  • The largest shareholder of the company is Steinhoff International Holdings N.V. with a 72% stake
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

Every investor in Pepco Group N.V. (WSE:PCO) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that public companies own the lion's share in the company with 72% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

As a result, public companies as a group endured the highest losses last week after market cap fell by zł1.2b.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Pepco Group.

View our latest analysis for Pepco Group

ownership-breakdown
WSE:PCO Ownership Breakdown March 18th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Pepco Group?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

Institutions have a very small stake in Pepco Group. That indicates that the company is on the radar of some funds, but it isn't particularly popular with professional investors at the moment. So if the company itself can improve over time, we may well see more institutional buyers in the future. It is not uncommon to see a big share price rise if multiple institutional investors are trying to buy into a stock at the same time. So check out the historic earnings trajectory, below, but keep in mind it's the future that counts most.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
WSE:PCO Earnings and Revenue Growth March 18th 2023

Pepco Group is not owned by hedge funds. Steinhoff International Holdings N.V. is currently the largest shareholder, with 72% of shares outstanding. This implies that they have majority interest control of the future of the company. With 4.7% and 0.9% of the shares outstanding respectively, E. Mule and The Vanguard Group, Inc. are the second and third largest shareholders.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Pepco Group

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Pepco Group N.V.. It is a pretty big company, so it is generally a positive to see some potentially meaningful alignment. In this case, they own around zł1.3b worth of shares (at current prices). Most would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. Still, it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 18% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Public Company Ownership

We can see that public companies hold 72% of the Pepco Group shares on issue. This may be a strategic interest and the two companies may have related business interests. It could be that they have de-merged. This holding is probably worth investigating further.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Pepco Group better, we need to consider many other factors.

I like to dive deeper into how a company has performed in the past. You can find historic revenue and earnings in this detailed graph.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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