Modivo Valuation
Is MDV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MDV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
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Below Future Cash Flow Value: MDV (PLN86.5) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (PLN138.76)
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: MDV is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MDV?
Key metric: As MDV is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is MDV's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.7x |
| Sales | zł10.99b |
| Market Cap | zł7.23b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.4x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does MDV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.6x | ||
ANR Answear.com | 0.2x | 10.26% | zł386.9m |
WTN Wittchen | 0.5x | n/a | zł240.2m |
APR Auto Partner | 0.9x | 10.21% | zł3.9b |
CAR Inter Cars | 0.6x | 8.34% | zł12.6b |
MDV Modivo | 0.7x | 8.20% | zł7.2b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MDV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).
Historical Price to Sales Ratio
Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.
Fetching historical data
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does MDV's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the PL Specialty Retail Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MDV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MDV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.7x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 1x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MDV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | zł86.50 | zł97.88 +13.16% | 32.17% | zł165.00 | zł56.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Sep ’27 | zł85.74 | zł99.97 +16.59% | 32.38% | zł165.00 | zł56.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Aug ’27 | zł92.80 | zł105.50 +13.69% | 34.40% | zł165.00 | zł56.70 | n/a | 12 |
| Jul ’27 | zł93.64 | zł107.82 +15.14% | 34.36% | zł165.00 | zł56.70 | n/a | 11 |
| Jun ’27 | zł77.84 | zł120.91 +55.33% | 24.70% | zł165.00 | zł74.00 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’27 | zł79.44 | zł138.18 +73.94% | 32.77% | zł254.60 | zł75.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Apr ’27 | zł92.88 | zł138.18 +48.77% | 32.77% | zł254.60 | zł75.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Mar ’27 | zł110.90 | zł159.00 +43.37% | 33.82% | zł254.60 | zł92.00 | n/a | 10 |
| Feb ’27 | zł117.80 | zł169.33 +43.75% | 32.19% | zł254.60 | zł92.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Jan ’27 | zł119.60 | zł181.28 +51.57% | 31.21% | zł254.60 | zł91.70 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’26 | zł129.00 | zł203.48 +57.74% | 28.59% | zł283.00 | zł91.70 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’26 | zł151.00 | zł223.25 +47.85% | 18.94% | zł283.00 | zł121.40 | n/a | 10 |
| Oct ’26 | zł186.55 | zł225.75 +21.01% | 19.06% | zł283.00 | zł121.40 | n/a | 10 |
| Sep ’26 | zł170.70 | zł226.75 +32.84% | 19.27% | zł283.00 | zł121.40 | zł85.74 | 10 |
| Aug ’26 | zł189.40 | zł227.80 +20.27% | 18.75% | zł283.00 | zł121.40 | zł92.80 | 10 |
| Jul ’26 | zł201.70 | zł227.80 +12.94% | 18.75% | zł283.00 | zł121.40 | zł93.64 | 10 |
| Jun ’26 | zł218.40 | zł239.62 +9.72% | 10.47% | zł283.00 | zł199.00 | zł77.84 | 9 |
| May ’26 | zł217.50 | zł229.83 +5.67% | 10.10% | zł258.00 | zł199.00 | zł79.44 | 8 |
| Apr ’26 | zł233.80 | zł204.82 -12.39% | 17.15% | zł250.00 | zł119.40 | zł92.88 | 9 |
| Mar ’26 | zł188.80 | zł204.82 +8.49% | 17.15% | zł250.00 | zł119.40 | zł110.90 | 9 |
| Feb ’26 | zł172.00 | zł206.68 +20.16% | 17.83% | zł250.00 | zł119.40 | zł117.80 | 8 |
| Jan ’26 | zł183.80 | zł206.68 +12.45% | 17.83% | zł250.00 | zł119.40 | zł119.60 | 8 |
| Dec ’25 | zł207.80 | zł145.38 -30.04% | 37.64% | zł227.00 | zł57.00 | zł129.00 | 9 |
| Nov ’25 | zł176.40 | zł138.30 -21.60% | 44.35% | zł227.00 | zł55.70 | zł151.00 | 9 |
| Oct ’25 | zł171.70 | zł110.65 -35.55% | 43.05% | zł200.00 | zł55.70 | zł186.55 | 10 |
| Sep ’25 | zł155.10 | zł105.65 -31.88% | 37.87% | zł160.80 | zł55.70 | zł170.70 | 10 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/17 17:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/04/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Modivo S.A. is covered by 23 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Beata Szparaga-Wasniewska | Biuro maklerskie mBanku |
| Janusz Pieta | Biuro maklerskie mBanku |
| Ilya Ogorodnikov | BofA Global Research |