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Polski Holding Nieruchomosci (WSE:PHN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Polski Holding Nieruchomosci S.A. (WSE:PHN) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Polski Holding Nieruchomosci
What Is Polski Holding Nieruchomosci's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Polski Holding Nieruchomosci had debt of zł1.28b, up from zł1.17b in one year. However, it also had zł70.5m in cash, and so its net debt is zł1.21b.
How Healthy Is Polski Holding Nieruchomosci's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci had liabilities of zł706.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł1.36b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of zł70.5m and zł92.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total zł1.90b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the zł676.1m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 11.7, it's fair to say Polski Holding Nieruchomosci does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.1 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Worse, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci's EBIT was down 50% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Polski Holding Nieruchomosci can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
On the face of it, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Polski Holding Nieruchomosci to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Polski Holding Nieruchomosci (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:PHN
Polski Holding Nieruchomosci
Engages in real estate management and development project implementation activities in Poland.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.