Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Polski Holding Nieruchomosci (WSE:PHN) Is Using Debt Extensively

WSE:PHN
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci S.A. (WSE:PHN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Polski Holding Nieruchomosci

What Is Polski Holding Nieruchomosci's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Polski Holding Nieruchomosci had debt of zł1.52b, up from zł1.26b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of zł126.6m, its net debt is less, at about zł1.39b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:PHN Debt to Equity History September 21st 2023

A Look At Polski Holding Nieruchomosci's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Polski Holding Nieruchomosci had liabilities of zł856.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł1.44b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł126.6m as well as receivables valued at zł200.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total zł1.97b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the zł604.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Polski Holding Nieruchomosci shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (12.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.7 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. However, one redeeming factor is that Polski Holding Nieruchomosci grew its EBIT at 19% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Polski Holding Nieruchomosci can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On the face of it, Polski Holding Nieruchomosci's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Polski Holding Nieruchomosci's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Polski Holding Nieruchomosci .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Polski Holding Nieruchomosci is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.