Stock Analysis

Is Selvita (WSE:SLV) Using Too Much Debt?

WSE:SLV
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Selvita S.A. (WSE:SLV) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Selvita

What Is Selvita's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Selvita had zł118.3m of debt in March 2024, down from zł129.5m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of zł44.3m, its net debt is less, at about zł74.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:SLV Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024

How Strong Is Selvita's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Selvita had liabilities of zł96.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł215.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł44.3m in cash and zł82.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł184.8m.

Of course, Selvita has a market capitalization of zł1.04b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Even though Selvita's debt is only 2.3, its interest cover is really very low at 1.00. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Importantly, Selvita's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 73% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Selvita can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Selvita recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

While Selvita's interest cover makes us cautious about it, its track record of (not) growing its EBIT is no better. At least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us reason to be optimistic. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Selvita's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Selvita's earnings per share history for free.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.