Stalprodukt Valuation

Is STP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STP (PLN213) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PLN123.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

STP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.05x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA0.6x
PEG Ratio-5.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.9x
COG Cognor Holding
4.1x-36.1%zł1.4b
FER Ferrum
84xn/azł239.8m
JSW Jastrzebska Spólka Weglowa
1.8x-13.9%zł3.7b
ODL Odlewnie Polskie
5.5xn/azł193.1m
STP Stalprodukt
5.3x-0.9%zł1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (23.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: STP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł213.00
zł359.49
+68.8%
12.7%zł405.00zł313.97n/a2
Apr ’25zł204.00
zł359.49
+76.2%
12.7%zł405.00zł313.97n/a2
Mar ’25zł211.00
zł359.49
+70.4%
12.7%zł405.00zł313.97n/a2
Feb ’25zł230.50
zł359.49
+56.0%
12.7%zł405.00zł313.97n/a2
Jan ’25zł241.00
zł359.49
+49.2%
12.7%zł405.00zł313.97n/a2
Dec ’24zł229.00
zł359.49
+57.0%
12.7%zł405.00zł313.97n/a2
Nov ’24zł223.00
zł388.57
+74.2%
4.2%zł405.00zł372.13n/a2
Oct ’24zł223.00
zł388.57
+74.2%
4.2%zł405.00zł372.13n/a2
Sep ’24zł237.50
zł388.57
+63.6%
4.2%zł405.00zł372.13n/a2
Aug ’24zł256.50
zł388.57
+51.5%
4.2%zł405.00zł372.13n/a2
Jul ’24zł286.50
zł388.57
+35.6%
4.2%zł405.00zł372.13n/a2
Jun ’24zł300.00
zł388.57
+29.5%
4.2%zł405.00zł372.13n/a2
May ’24zł302.00
zł408.36
+35.2%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00n/a2
Apr ’24zł288.00
zł408.36
+41.8%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł204.002
Mar ’24zł256.00
zł408.36
+59.5%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł211.002
Feb ’24zł300.00
zł408.36
+36.1%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł230.502
Jan ’24zł238.00
zł408.35
+71.6%
0.8%zł411.70zł405.00zł241.002
Dec ’23zł240.00
zł408.36
+70.2%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł229.002
Nov ’23zł221.50
zł408.36
+84.4%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł223.002
Oct ’23zł220.00
zł408.36
+85.6%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł223.002
Sep ’23zł237.00
zł408.36
+72.3%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł237.502
Aug ’23zł258.00
zł408.35
+58.3%
0.8%zł411.70zł405.00zł256.502
Jul ’23zł264.50
zł408.35
+54.4%
0.8%zł411.70zł405.00zł286.502
Jun ’23zł320.00
zł408.36
+27.6%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł300.002
May ’23zł339.00
zł408.36
+20.5%
0.8%zł411.72zł405.00zł302.002
Apr ’23zł343.50
zł408.35
+18.9%
0.8%zł411.70zł405.00zł288.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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