Stock Analysis

We Think MFO (WSE:MFO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Published
WSE:MFO

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that MFO S.A. (WSE:MFO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for MFO

What Is MFO's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MFO had zł70.1m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds zł111.2m in cash, so it actually has zł41.1m net cash.

WSE:MFO Debt to Equity History October 29th 2024

A Look At MFO's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that MFO had liabilities of zł155.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł60.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł111.2m in cash and zł89.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł16.5m.

Since publicly traded MFO shares are worth a total of zł174.4m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, MFO boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Notably, MFO made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of zł7.0m in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is MFO's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. MFO may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last year, MFO recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 97% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about MFO's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of zł41.1m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of zł6.8m, being 97% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with MFO's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for MFO (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.