Grupa Kety Valuation
Is KTY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of KTY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: KTY (PLN735) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN1112.5)
Significantly Below Fair Value: KTY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KTY?
Key metric: As KTY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is KTY's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 13.4x |
| Earnings | zł535.40m |
| Market Cap | zł7.00b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does KTY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 12.9x | ||
AML Alumetal | 7.5x | n/a | zł1.3b |
BRS Boryszew | 24.2x | n/a | zł1.1b |
CIE Ciech | 7.6x | 4.8% | zł2.8b |
PCR PCC Rokita | 12.3x | 14.4% | zł1.5b |
KTY Grupa Kety | 13.4x | 9.1% | zł7.2b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (14.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does KTY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?
| 15 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (13.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is KTY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 13.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 14.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | zł735.00 | zł836.30 +13.8% | 6.0% | zł920.00 | zł770.15 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’25 | zł680.50 | zł836.30 +22.9% | 6.0% | zł920.00 | zł770.15 | n/a | 5 |
| Oct ’25 | zł817.50 | zł843.00 +3.1% | 5.9% | zł920.00 | zł770.15 | n/a | 5 |
| Sep ’25 | zł776.00 | zł815.86 +5.1% | 7.3% | zł906.00 | zł735.90 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’25 | zł815.50 | zł767.99 -5.8% | 16.6% | zł906.00 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’25 | zł862.00 | zł767.99 -10.9% | 16.6% | zł906.00 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | zł863.00 | zł730.79 -15.3% | 18.5% | zł906.00 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | zł843.50 | zł693.49 -17.8% | 17.6% | zł906.00 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | zł760.00 | zł649.39 -14.6% | 9.7% | zł722.80 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | zł717.00 | zł649.39 -9.4% | 9.7% | zł722.80 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | zł676.50 | zł649.39 -4.0% | 9.7% | zł722.80 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | zł745.00 | zł649.39 -12.8% | 9.7% | zł722.80 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | zł744.00 | zł649.39 -12.7% | 9.7% | zł722.80 | zł537.87 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’24 | zł710.00 | zł631.58 -11.0% | 10.8% | zł696.20 | zł537.87 | zł680.50 | 6 |
| Oct ’24 | zł659.50 | zł617.11 -6.4% | 12.3% | zł748.00 | zł537.87 | zł817.50 | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | zł652.00 | zł617.11 -5.4% | 12.3% | zł748.00 | zł537.87 | zł776.00 | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | zł688.00 | zł617.05 -10.3% | 12.4% | zł748.00 | zł537.57 | zł815.50 | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | zł616.00 | zł559.07 -9.2% | 11.2% | zł628.00 | zł457.67 | zł862.00 | 5 |
| Jun ’24 | zł568.00 | zł559.07 -1.6% | 11.2% | zł628.00 | zł457.67 | zł863.00 | 5 |
| May ’24 | zł567.00 | zł578.01 +1.9% | 12.2% | zł667.61 | zł457.67 | zł843.50 | 6 |
| Apr ’24 | zł530.00 | zł584.86 +10.4% | 12.9% | zł667.61 | zł457.67 | zł760.00 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | zł497.50 | zł584.86 +17.6% | 12.9% | zł667.61 | zł457.70 | zł717.00 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | zł497.00 | zł597.16 +20.2% | 14.4% | zł689.50 | zł457.70 | zł676.50 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | zł457.00 | zł667.64 +46.1% | 20.3% | zł845.00 | zł457.70 | zł745.00 | 6 |
| Dec ’23 | zł592.00 | zł706.46 +19.3% | 12.9% | zł845.00 | zł590.84 | zł744.00 | 6 |
| Nov ’23 | zł493.00 | zł698.69 +41.7% | 13.8% | zł845.00 | zł590.84 | zł710.00 | 6 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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