Grupa Kety Valuation

Is KTY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KTY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
zł1.14k
Fair Value
38.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: KTY (PLN703.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN1139.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KTY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KTY?

Key metric: As KTY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KTY. This is calculated by dividing KTY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KTY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.8x
Earningszł535.40m
Market Capzł6.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KTY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KTY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.7x
AML Alumetal
7.5xn/azł1.3b
BRS Boryszew
60.2xn/azł1.1b
CIE Ciech
7.6x4.8%zł2.8b
CSTM Constellium
15.4x54.2%US$1.6b
KTY Grupa Kety
12.8x7.3%zł6.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KTY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KTY 12.8xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KTY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KTY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KTY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KTY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł703.50
zł824.40
+17.2%
5.6%zł920.00zł784.73n/a6
Jan ’26zł682.50
zł822.28
+20.5%
6.1%zł920.00zł784.73n/a5
Dec ’25zł724.50
zł834.29
+15.2%
6.0%zł920.00zł784.70n/a5
Nov ’25zł680.50
zł836.30
+22.9%
6.0%zł920.00zł770.15n/a5
Oct ’25zł817.50
zł843.00
+3.1%
5.9%zł920.00zł770.15n/a5
Sep ’25zł776.00
zł815.86
+5.1%
7.3%zł906.00zł735.90n/a5
Aug ’25zł815.50
zł767.99
-5.8%
16.6%zł906.00zł537.87n/a5
Jul ’25zł862.00
zł767.99
-10.9%
16.6%zł906.00zł537.87n/a5
Jun ’25zł863.00
zł730.79
-15.3%
18.5%zł906.00zł537.87n/a5
May ’25zł843.50
zł693.49
-17.8%
17.6%zł906.00zł537.87n/a5
Apr ’25zł760.00
zł649.39
-14.6%
9.7%zł722.80zł537.87n/a5
Mar ’25zł717.00
zł649.39
-9.4%
9.7%zł722.80zł537.87n/a5
Feb ’25zł676.50
zł649.39
-4.0%
9.7%zł722.80zł537.87n/a5
Jan ’25zł745.00
zł649.39
-12.8%
9.7%zł722.80zł537.87zł682.505
Dec ’24zł744.00
zł649.39
-12.7%
9.7%zł722.80zł537.87zł724.505
Nov ’24zł710.00
zł631.58
-11.0%
10.8%zł696.20zł537.87zł680.506
Oct ’24zł659.50
zł617.11
-6.4%
12.3%zł748.00zł537.87zł817.505
Sep ’24zł652.00
zł617.11
-5.4%
12.3%zł748.00zł537.87zł776.005
Aug ’24zł688.00
zł617.05
-10.3%
12.4%zł748.00zł537.57zł815.505
Jul ’24zł616.00
zł559.07
-9.2%
11.2%zł628.00zł457.67zł862.005
Jun ’24zł568.00
zł559.07
-1.6%
11.2%zł628.00zł457.67zł863.005
May ’24zł567.00
zł578.01
+1.9%
12.2%zł667.61zł457.67zł843.506
Apr ’24zł530.00
zł584.86
+10.4%
12.9%zł667.61zł457.67zł760.005
Mar ’24zł497.50
zł584.86
+17.6%
12.9%zł667.61zł457.70zł717.005
Feb ’24zł497.00
zł597.16
+20.2%
14.4%zł689.50zł457.70zł676.505
Jan ’24zł457.00
zł667.64
+46.1%
20.3%zł845.00zł457.70zł745.006
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
zł824.40
Fair Value
14.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/17 13:09
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Grupa Kety S.A. is covered by 14 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku
Rafal WiatrCitigroup Inc
Sobieslaw PajakDom Maklerski IDMSA