Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That KGHM Polska Miedz (WSE:KGH) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

WSE:KGH
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that KGHM Polska Miedz S.A. (WSE:KGH) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is KGHM Polska Miedz's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that KGHM Polska Miedz had zł5.52b in debt in March 2025; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has zł1.16b in cash leading to net debt of about zł4.36b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:KGH Debt to Equity History July 14th 2025

How Healthy Is KGHM Polska Miedz's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that KGHM Polska Miedz had liabilities of zł10.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł11.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł1.16b as well as receivables valued at zł1.78b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling zł19.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of zł26.6b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

Check out our latest analysis for KGHM Polska Miedz

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

KGHM Polska Miedz has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.68. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. Even more impressive was the fact that KGHM Polska Miedz grew its EBIT by 424% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KGHM Polska Miedz can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, KGHM Polska Miedz saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen KGHM Polska Miedz is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about KGHM Polska Miedz's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in KGHM Polska Miedz, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KGHM Polska Miedz might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About WSE:KGH

KGHM Polska Miedz

Engages in the exploration and mining of copper, nickel, precious metals, and non-ferrous metals in Poland and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

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