Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At KGHM Polska Miedz (WSE:KGH) Leave Little Room For Excitement

WSE:KGH
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think KGHM Polska Miedz (WSE:KGH) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

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Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for KGHM Polska Miedz:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.067 = zł3.0b ÷ (zł53b - zł8.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, KGHM Polska Miedz has an ROCE of 6.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 17%.

See our latest analysis for KGHM Polska Miedz

roce
WSE:KGH Return on Capital Employed August 14th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for KGHM Polska Miedz compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

So How Is KGHM Polska Miedz's ROCE Trending?

There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at KGHM Polska Miedz. The company has consistently earned 6.7% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 54% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

Our Take On KGHM Polska Miedz's ROCE

In conclusion, KGHM Polska Miedz has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 42% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

KGHM Polska Miedz does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KGHM Polska Miedz might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.