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Investors Could Be Concerned With KGHM Polska Miedz's (WSE:KGH) Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think KGHM Polska Miedz (WSE:KGH) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on KGHM Polska Miedz is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.023 = zł942m ÷ (zł51b - zł11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Therefore, KGHM Polska Miedz has an ROCE of 2.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 9.6%.
Check out our latest analysis for KGHM Polska Miedz
In the above chart we have measured KGHM Polska Miedz's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for KGHM Polska Miedz .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at KGHM Polska Miedz doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 7.6% over the last five years. However it looks like KGHM Polska Miedz might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
Our Take On KGHM Polska Miedz's ROCE
To conclude, we've found that KGHM Polska Miedz is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has gained an impressive 43% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
If you're still interested in KGHM Polska Miedz it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation for KGH to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.
While KGHM Polska Miedz may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KGHM Polska Miedz might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:KGH
KGHM Polska Miedz
Engages in the production and sale of copper, precious metals, and non-ferrous metals in Poland and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.