Stock Analysis

Is NEUCA (WSE:NEU) Using Too Much Debt?

WSE:NEU
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies NEUCA S.A. (WSE:NEU) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does NEUCA Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that NEUCA had zł55.9m of debt in September 2020, down from zł321.1m, one year before. However, it also had zł23.4m in cash, and so its net debt is zł32.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:NEU Debt to Equity History January 4th 2021

How Strong Is NEUCA's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, NEUCA had liabilities of zł2.44b due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł268.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł23.4m as well as receivables valued at zł1.30b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł1.39b.

NEUCA has a market capitalization of zł2.86b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. But either way, NEUCA has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

NEUCA's net debt is only 0.11 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 757 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that NEUCA has boosted its EBIT by 35%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NEUCA can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, NEUCA recorded free cash flow worth 76% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

NEUCA's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like NEUCA commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, we don't think NEUCA is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for NEUCA you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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