Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Gobarto S.A. (WSE:GOB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Gobarto
What Is Gobarto's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Gobarto had zł220.6m of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has zł25.8m in cash leading to net debt of about zł194.7m.
How Strong Is Gobarto's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Gobarto had liabilities of zł396.9m due within a year, and liabilities of zł170.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł25.8m as well as receivables valued at zł174.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling zł367.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the zł200.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Gobarto would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Gobarto's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Gobarto had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 6.4%, to zł2.0b. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Gobarto produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable zł29m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through zł48m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Gobarto (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:GOB
Gobarto
Engages in breeding, purchasing, slaughtering, cutting, and packaging of pork in Poland and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.