Stock Analysis

We Think ASTARTA Holding (WSE:AST) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

WSE:AST
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that ASTARTA Holding N.V. (WSE:AST) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for ASTARTA Holding

What Is ASTARTA Holding's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 ASTARTA Holding had ₴4.21b of debt, an increase on ₴1.24b, over one year. However, it also had ₴1.75b in cash, and so its net debt is ₴2.46b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:AST Debt to Equity History March 2nd 2023

How Healthy Is ASTARTA Holding's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ASTARTA Holding had liabilities of ₴5.63b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₴3.97b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₴1.75b and ₴2.41b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₴5.45b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₴5.17b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While ASTARTA Holding's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.39 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.4 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Even more impressive was the fact that ASTARTA Holding grew its EBIT by 149% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ASTARTA Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, ASTARTA Holding produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that ASTARTA Holding's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its level of total liabilities has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that ASTARTA Holding can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for ASTARTA Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.