Dino Polska Valuation

Is DNP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DNP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DNP (PLN377.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN618.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DNP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DNP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DNP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.1x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DNP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DNP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
EUR Eurocash
22.7x35.0%zł2.0b
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de
16.3x8.8%Mex$128.3b
CASY Casey's General Stores
25x8.3%US$11.8b
MGNT Magnit
7.9x27.1%₽435.4b
DNP Dino Polska
26.3x18.2%zł37.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DNP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DNP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DNP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.3x
Fair PE Ratio29.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DNP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DNP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł377.50
zł442.80
+17.3%
13.2%zł548.00zł350.00n/a12
Mar ’25zł461.70
zł458.47
-0.7%
13.0%zł548.00zł367.00n/a12
Feb ’25zł447.10
zł448.30
+0.3%
13.6%zł548.00zł367.00n/a12
Jan ’25zł460.70
zł450.55
-2.2%
14.0%zł554.00zł367.00n/a12
Dec ’24zł456.50
zł440.88
-3.4%
15.6%zł554.00zł322.00n/a12
Nov ’24zł398.50
zł425.39
+6.7%
14.4%zł528.00zł322.00n/a12
Oct ’24zł355.00
zł427.28
+20.4%
13.9%zł528.00zł322.00n/a13
Sep ’24zł377.70
zł431.44
+14.2%
14.5%zł535.00zł322.00n/a13
Aug ’24zł449.10
zł436.51
-2.8%
15.6%zł535.00zł322.00n/a13
Jul ’24zł474.80
zł422.90
-10.9%
15.1%zł537.00zł322.00n/a13
Jun ’24zł442.00
zł416.98
-5.7%
13.7%zł537.00zł322.00n/a13
May ’24zł423.40
zł401.36
-5.2%
10.7%zł482.00zł322.00n/a13
Apr ’24zł391.10
zł392.23
+0.3%
10.8%zł453.00zł322.00n/a13
Mar ’24zł373.40
zł389.23
+4.2%
9.7%zł450.00zł322.00zł461.7013
Feb ’24zł380.40
zł378.54
-0.5%
12.6%zł450.00zł303.00zł447.1013
Jan ’24zł375.30
zł373.15
-0.6%
11.5%zł434.00zł303.00zł460.7013
Dec ’23zł365.10
zł373.15
+2.2%
11.5%zł434.00zł303.00zł456.5013
Nov ’23zł312.20
zł361.00
+15.6%
11.8%zł420.00zł303.00zł398.5013
Oct ’23zł302.00
zł364.98
+20.9%
11.9%zł420.00zł303.00zł355.0012
Sep ’23zł335.50
zł360.48
+7.4%
11.6%zł420.00zł303.00zł377.7012
Aug ’23zł366.00
zł354.38
-3.2%
10.4%zł414.00zł303.00zł449.1013
Jul ’23zł325.10
zł351.56
+8.1%
9.8%zł414.00zł303.00zł474.8014
Jun ’23zł297.10
zł351.10
+18.2%
11.0%zł406.00zł284.00zł442.0014
May ’23zł288.10
zł351.34
+21.9%
14.1%zł470.00zł281.00zł423.4013
Apr ’23zł344.90
zł353.90
+2.6%
13.5%zł470.00zł281.00zł391.1013
Mar ’23zł299.10
zł363.51
+21.5%
12.4%zł470.00zł303.00zł373.4013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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