Dino Polska Valuation

Is DNP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DNP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DNP (PLN398.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN673.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DNP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DNP?

Key metric: As DNP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DNP. This is calculated by dividing DNP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DNP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.3x
Earningszł1.43b
Market Capzł39.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DNP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DNP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.7x
CART Maplebear
24.8x11.7%US$10.8b
SHP Shoprite Holdings
24.8x12.8%R163.0b
MKS Marks and Spencer Group
15.1x9.3%UK£7.6b
JMT Jerónimo Martins SGPS
18x11.2%€11.5b
DNP Dino Polska
27.3x18.1%zł39.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.3x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DNP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DNP 27.3xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.3x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DNP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DNP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.3x
Fair PE Ratio47x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DNP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DNP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł398.20
zł413.19
+3.8%
11.0%zł471.00zł340.00n/a14
Dec ’25zł385.90
zł402.70
+4.4%
12.9%zł471.00zł326.80n/a14
Nov ’25zł331.70
zł393.77
+18.7%
15.4%zł527.00zł299.00n/a14
Oct ’25zł342.00
zł399.31
+16.8%
15.3%zł527.00zł299.00n/a14
Sep ’25zł322.50
zł409.09
+26.9%
14.6%zł527.00zł299.00n/a14
Aug ’25zł344.40
zł430.97
+25.1%
12.5%zł527.00zł340.00n/a14
Jul ’25zł398.20
zł441.43
+10.9%
12.0%zł527.00zł340.00n/a14
Jun ’25zł392.10
zł435.46
+11.1%
12.0%zł527.00zł340.00n/a13
May ’25zł389.90
zł436.54
+12.0%
13.0%zł548.00zł350.00n/a12
Apr ’25zł387.70
zł442.80
+14.2%
13.2%zł548.00zł350.00n/a12
Mar ’25zł461.70
zł458.47
-0.7%
13.0%zł548.00zł367.00n/a12
Feb ’25zł447.10
zł448.30
+0.3%
13.6%zł548.00zł367.00n/a12
Jan ’25zł460.70
zł450.55
-2.2%
14.0%zł554.00zł367.00n/a12
Dec ’24zł456.50
zł440.88
-3.4%
15.6%zł554.00zł322.00zł385.9012
Nov ’24zł398.50
zł424.63
+6.6%
14.6%zł528.00zł322.00zł331.7012
Oct ’24zł355.00
zł427.28
+20.4%
13.9%zł528.00zł322.00zł342.0013
Sep ’24zł377.70
zł431.44
+14.2%
14.5%zł535.00zł322.00zł322.5013
Aug ’24zł449.10
zł443.74
-1.2%
14.6%zł535.00zł322.00zł344.4013
Jul ’24zł474.80
zł430.13
-9.4%
14.4%zł537.00zł322.00zł398.2013
Jun ’24zł442.00
zł424.21
-4.0%
13.1%zł537.00zł322.00zł392.1013
May ’24zł423.40
zł408.59
-3.5%
10.7%zł482.00zł322.00zł389.9013
Apr ’24zł391.10
zł392.23
+0.3%
10.8%zł453.00zł322.00zł387.7013
Mar ’24zł373.40
zł389.23
+4.2%
9.7%zł450.00zł322.00zł461.7013
Feb ’24zł380.40
zł378.54
-0.5%
12.6%zł450.00zł303.00zł447.1013
Jan ’24zł375.30
zł373.15
-0.6%
11.5%zł434.00zł303.00zł460.7013
Dec ’23zł365.10
zł373.15
+2.2%
11.5%zł434.00zł303.00zł456.5013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 02:12
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Dino Polska S.A. is covered by 21 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew ClementsBarclays
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku
Ilya OgorodnikovBofA Global Research