Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Werth-Holz S.A. (WSE:WHH) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Werth-Holz's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Werth-Holz had zł18.5m of debt, up from zł15.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has zł787.1k in cash leading to net debt of about zł17.8m.
How Strong Is Werth-Holz's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Werth-Holz had liabilities of zł16.8m due within a year, and liabilities of zł7.50m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł787.1k and zł2.91m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling zł20.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of zł16.2m, we think shareholders really should watch Werth-Holz's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Werth-Holz will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Werth-Holz made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to zł28m, which is a fall of 43%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Werth-Holz's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at zł1.3m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through zł2.9m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Werth-Holz you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:WHH
Werth-Holz
Engages in manufacture and sale of wooden garden architecture products.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.