The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Redan S.A. (WSE:RDN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Redan
What Is Redan's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Redan had debt of zł10.1m at the end of September 2021, a reduction from zł11.5m over a year. However, it does have zł432.0k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about zł9.71m.
How Healthy Is Redan's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Redan had liabilities of zł55.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł9.02m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł432.0k as well as receivables valued at zł15.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł47.9m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the zł11.6m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Redan would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Redan's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Redan had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 46%, to zł95m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Redan's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping zł9.7m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of zł4.2m in the last year. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Redan you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:RDN
Good value low.