Stock Analysis

Is Redan (WSE:RDN) A Risky Investment?

WSE:RDN
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Redan S.A. (WSE:RDN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Redan

What Is Redan's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, Redan had zł15.6m of debt, up from zł9.44m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had zł1.07m in cash, and so its net debt is zł14.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:RDN Debt to Equity History August 24th 2023

A Look At Redan's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Redan had liabilities of zł62.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł7.95m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of zł1.07m and zł22.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling zł47.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the zł19.6m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Redan would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Redan's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Redan made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to zł88m, which is a fall of 11%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While Redan's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost zł1.1m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of zł2.9m and the profit of zł2.4m. So there is definitely a chance that it can improve things in the next few years. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Redan (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.