Stock Analysis

Here's Why Fabryki Mebli FORTE (WSE:FTE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

WSE:FTE
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Fabryki Mebli FORTE S.A. (WSE:FTE) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Fabryki Mebli FORTE

What Is Fabryki Mebli FORTE's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Fabryki Mebli FORTE had zł387.5m of debt at December 2020, down from zł531.0m a year prior. However, it does have zł88.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about zł299.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:FTE Debt to Equity History May 19th 2021

How Healthy Is Fabryki Mebli FORTE's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Fabryki Mebli FORTE had liabilities of zł353.0m due within a year, and liabilities of zł322.8m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł88.2m and zł180.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total zł407.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Fabryki Mebli FORTE has a market capitalization of zł1.41b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.5 and interest cover of 2.9 times, it seems to us that Fabryki Mebli FORTE is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Importantly, Fabryki Mebli FORTE grew its EBIT by 75% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Fabryki Mebli FORTE's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Fabryki Mebli FORTE recorded free cash flow worth 67% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Fabryki Mebli FORTE's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its interest cover has the opposite effect. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Fabryki Mebli FORTE takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Fabryki Mebli FORTE you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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