Stock Analysis

Tax-Net S.A.'s (WSE:TXN) 28% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio

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WSE:TXN

Tax-Net S.A. (WSE:TXN) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Tax-Net's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.4x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Poland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 11x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Tax-Net's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Tax-Net

WSE:TXN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 23rd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tax-Net's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Tax-Net?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Tax-Net's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 37% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 21% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Tax-Net is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Tax-Net's P/E?

Tax-Net's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Tax-Net currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Tax-Net has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tax-Net, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tax-Net might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.