When close to half the companies in Poland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider Blue Tax Group S.A. (WSE:BTG) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 76.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Blue Tax Group as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Blue Tax Group
Is There Enough Growth For Blue Tax Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Blue Tax Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 214% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing the recent medium-term upward earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for contraction of 4.6% shows it's a great look while it lasts.
In light of this, it's understandable that Blue Tax Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse. Nonetheless, with most other businesses facing an uphill battle, staying on its current earnings path is no certainty.
What We Can Learn From Blue Tax Group's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Blue Tax Group revealed its growing earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its high P/E, given the market is set to shrink. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. We still remain cautious about the company's ability to stay its recent course and swim against the current of the broader market turmoil. Although, if the company's relative performance doesn't change it will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for Blue Tax Group (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Blue Tax Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:BLF
BeLeaf
A carbon neutral company, engages in the ecological investments connected with the wood industry.
Medium-low with weak fundamentals.