Stock Analysis

Is Hortico (WSE:HOR) Using Too Much Debt?

WSE:HOR
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hortico S.A. (WSE:HOR) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does Hortico Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hortico had zł10.7m of debt in December 2020, down from zł17.2m, one year before. On the flip side, it has zł928.2k in cash leading to net debt of about zł9.73m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:HOR Debt to Equity History May 7th 2021

A Look At Hortico's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hortico had liabilities of zł46.6m due within a year, and liabilities of zł5.23m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł928.2k and zł30.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling zł20.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Hortico has a market capitalization of zł47.9m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hortico's net debt is only 0.96 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 33.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Hortico grew its EBIT by 84% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hortico will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Hortico recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Hortico's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Hortico is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Hortico is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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