Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE (WSE:GKI) Is Using Debt Extensively

WSE:GKI
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE S.A. (WSE:GKI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE

What Is Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE had zł248.8m of debt, an increase on zł223.3m, over one year. On the flip side, it has zł19.0m in cash leading to net debt of about zł229.9m.

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WSE:GKI Debt to Equity History June 6th 2024

How Healthy Is Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE had liabilities of zł403.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of zł299.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł19.0m in cash and zł144.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling zł539.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the zł213.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.3), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.98 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE's EBIT was down 43% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

On the face of it, Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Grupa Kapitalowa IMMOBILE is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.