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Does Bowim's (WSE:BOW) Statutory Profit Adequately Reflect Its Underlying Profit?
It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Bowim (WSE:BOW).
We like the fact that Bowim made a profit of zł9.77m on its revenue of zł1.15b, in the last year.
See our latest analysis for Bowim
Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. As a result, today we're going to take a closer look at Bowim's cashflow, and unusual items, with a view to understanding what these might tell us about its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Bowim.
A Closer Look At Bowim's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to September 2020, Bowim had an accrual ratio of -0.15. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of zł44m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of zł9.77m. Notably, Bowim had negative free cash flow last year, so the zł44m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Surprisingly, given Bowim's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by zł1.7m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Bowim doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On Bowim's Profit Performance
In conclusion, Bowim's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Considering the aforementioned, we think that Bowim's profits are probably a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability; although we'd be confident in that conclusion if we saw a cleaner set of results. If you want to do dive deeper into Bowim, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've found that Bowim has 4 warning signs (1 is significant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
Our examination of Bowim has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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About WSE:BOW
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.