The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Budimex SA (WSE:BDX) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Budimex
What Is Budimex's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Budimex had zł36.4m of debt in December 2022, down from zł41.1m, one year before. However, it does have zł3.25b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of zł3.21b.
How Strong Is Budimex's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Budimex had liabilities of zł5.06b due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł1.03b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had zł3.25b in cash and zł1.45b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł1.39b.
Of course, Budimex has a market capitalization of zł9.34b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Budimex boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
On the other hand, Budimex saw its EBIT drop by 5.1% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Budimex can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Budimex has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Budimex actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing Up
While Budimex does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of zł3.21b. The cherry on top was that in converted 174% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in zł1.3b. So is Budimex's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Budimex that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:BDX
Budimex
Operates as an infrastructure and services company in Poland, Germany, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.