The Hub Power Company Limited

KASE:HUBC Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨142.1b

Hub Power Valuation

Is HUBC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HUBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HUBC (PKR109.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PKR142.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HUBC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HUBC?

Key metric: As HUBC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HUBC. This is calculated by dividing HUBC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HUBC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio2x
EarningsPK₨72.06b
Market CapPK₨142.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HUBC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HUBC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3x
PKGP Pakgen Power
5.6xn/aPK₨39.1b
EPQL Engro Powergen Qadirpur
3xn/aPK₨8.7b
NPL Nishat Power
1.9x-19.4%PK₨10.9b
LPL Lalpir Power
1.4xn/aPK₨8.3b
HUBC Hub Power
2x-0.3%PK₨142.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HUBC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HUBC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Renewable Energy Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.13.9x14.6%
HUBC Hub Power
2x-0.3%US$511.85m
HUBC 2.0xIndustry Avg. 13.9xNo. of Companies23PE01020304050+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.13.9x14.6%
HUBC Hub Power
2x-0.3%US$511.85m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HUBC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2x) compared to the Asian Renewable Energy industry average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HUBC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HUBC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2x
Fair PE Ratio2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HUBC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HUBC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentPK₨109.58
PK₨150.57
+37.4%
19.8%PK₨190.00PK₨115.00n/a7
Nov ’25PK₨103.85
PK₨154.25
+48.5%
19.1%PK₨190.00PK₨115.00n/a8
Oct ’25PK₨126.47
PK₨172.28
+36.2%
10.8%PK₨201.50PK₨140.00n/a9
Sep ’25PK₨151.85
PK₨172.50
+13.6%
10.7%PK₨201.50PK₨140.00n/a9
Aug ’25PK₨146.47
PK₨158.12
+8.0%
9.0%PK₨180.00PK₨140.00n/a6
Jul ’25PK₨163.65
PK₨155.21
-5.2%
11.4%PK₨180.00PK₨123.00n/a8
Jun ’25PK₨143.42
PK₨155.21
+8.2%
11.4%PK₨180.00PK₨123.00n/a8
May ’25PK₨132.17
PK₨152.97
+15.7%
11.7%PK₨180.00PK₨123.00n/a9
Apr ’25PK₨122.28
PK₨148.46
+21.4%
11.9%PK₨170.70PK₨123.00n/a8
Mar ’25PK₨114.31
PK₨148.46
+29.9%
11.9%PK₨170.70PK₨123.00n/a8
Feb ’25PK₨113.67
PK₨139.24
+22.5%
12.3%PK₨170.00PK₨120.00n/a8
Jan ’25PK₨121.42
PK₨136.27
+12.2%
12.0%PK₨170.00PK₨120.00n/a7
Dec ’24PK₨122.23
PK₨126.65
+3.6%
3.8%PK₨135.00PK₨120.00n/a6
Nov ’24PK₨104.12
PK₨124.99
+20.0%
4.9%PK₨135.00PK₨115.00PK₨103.857
Oct ’24PK₨88.33
PK₨119.27
+35.0%
13.6%PK₨135.00PK₨82.00PK₨126.477
Sep ’24PK₨79.83
PK₨114.97
+44.0%
14.9%PK₨128.00PK₨82.00PK₨151.855
Aug ’24PK₨84.62
PK₨116.19
+37.3%
13.6%PK₨135.00PK₨82.00PK₨146.477
Jul ’24PK₨69.58
PK₨116.19
+67.0%
13.6%PK₨135.00PK₨82.00PK₨163.657
Jun ’24PK₨67.93
PK₨116.19
+71.0%
13.6%PK₨135.00PK₨82.00PK₨143.427
May ’24PK₨71.86
PK₨116.19
+61.7%
13.6%PK₨135.00PK₨82.00PK₨132.177
Apr ’24PK₨67.53
PK₨116.19
+72.1%
13.6%PK₨135.00PK₨82.00PK₨122.287
Mar ’24PK₨70.48
PK₨116.19
+64.9%
13.6%PK₨135.00PK₨82.00PK₨114.317
Feb ’24PK₨64.23
PK₨123.02
+91.5%
12.2%PK₨138.00PK₨89.00PK₨113.677
Jan ’24PK₨63.08
PK₨122.00
+93.4%
12.4%PK₨138.00PK₨89.00PK₨121.427
Dec ’23PK₨66.65
PK₨122.00
+83.0%
12.4%PK₨138.00PK₨89.00PK₨122.237
Nov ’23PK₨66.97
PK₨121.13
+80.9%
11.3%PK₨138.00PK₨89.00PK₨104.128

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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