How does HUBC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

HUBC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).

How does HUBC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Renewable Energy Industry?

HUBC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the Asian Renewable Energy industry average (14.8x).

What is HUBC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HUBC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.1x).

What is the Fair Price of HUBC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

HUBC (PKR139.43) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (PKR148.33)

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Hub Power (KASE:HUBC) - Stock Price, News & Analysis

HUBC Stock Overview

Operates as an independent power producer in Pakistan. More details

HUBC fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	3/6
Future Growth	1/6
Past Performance	4/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	5/6

Rewards

Trading at 6% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings have grown 28.5% per year over the past 5 years

Risk Analysis

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the next 3 years

Unstable dividend track record

My Notes

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evd101

Community Contributor

Hub Power: A Compelling Micro Cap Opportunity in Pakistan's Frontier Market

Management Summary / Key Takeaways Hub Power Hub Power (Hubco), Pakistan's largest Independent Power Producer, presents an intriguing investment opportunity in the Frontier Markets space. With a current stock price of PKR 106.90 and a Fair Value Estimate of PKR 165.02, there's potential for significant upside.

View narrative

PK₨165.02

15.5% undervalued

24.00%

Revenue growth p.a.

2 months ago

The Hub Power Company Limited Competitors

Pakgen Power

KASE:PKGP

PK₨39.8b

Nishat Power

KASE:NPL

PK₨12.7b

Engro Powergen Qadirpur

KASE:EPQL

PK₨8.9b

Lalpir Power

KASE:LPL

PK₨8.3b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Hub Power
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	PK₨139.43
52 Week High	PK₨169.90
52 Week Low	PK₨93.00
Beta	0.56
1 Month Change	23.98%
3 Month Change	-9.30%
1 Year Change	18.99%
3 Year Change	92.42%
5 Year Change	58.03%
Change since IPO	929.00%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	HUBC	PK Renewable Energy	PK Market
7D	16.9%	3.0%	6.1%
1Y	19.0%	12.9%	55.3%

Return vs Industry: HUBC exceeded the PK Renewable Energy industry which returned 12.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: HUBC underperformed the PK Market which returned 55.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is HUBC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
HUBC volatility
HUBC Average Weekly Movement	7.3%
Renewable Energy Industry Average Movement	7.0%
Market Average Movement	6.8%
10% most volatile stocks in PK Market	9.9%
10% least volatile stocks in PK Market	4.6%

Stable Share Price: HUBC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the PK market.

Volatility Over Time: HUBC's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1991	801	Muhammad Kamal	www.hubpower.com

The Hub Power Company Limited operates as an independent power producer in Pakistan. It operates through three segments: Power Generation, Operations and Maintenance, and Investments. The company develops, owns, operates, and maintains power stations.

The Hub Power Company Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Hub Power's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
HUBC fundamental statistics
Market cap	PK₨180.86b
Earnings (TTM)	PK₨72.06b
Revenue (TTM)	PK₨128.83b

2.5x

P/E Ratio

1.4x

P/S Ratio

Is HUBC overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
HUBC income statement (TTM)
Revenue	PK₨128.83b
Cost of Revenue	PK₨59.21b
Gross Profit	PK₨69.62b
Other Expenses	-PK₨2.44b
Earnings	PK₨72.06b

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	55.55
Gross Margin	54.04%
Net Profit Margin	55.93%
Debt/Equity Ratio	65.8%

How did HUBC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

14.3%

Current Dividend Yield

27%

Payout Ratio

HUBC Stock Overview

Rewards

Risk Analysis

Hub Power: A Compelling Micro Cap Opportunity in Pakistan's Frontier Market

The Hub Power Company Limited Competitors

KASE:PKGP

PK₨39.8b

KASE:NPL

PK₨12.7b

KASE:EPQL

PK₨8.9b

KASE:LPL

PK₨8.3b

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: PK₨14.74 (vs PK₨13.17 in 1Q 2024)

Price target decreased by 7.4% to PK₨160

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop

Recent updates

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: PK₨14.74 (vs PK₨13.17 in 1Q 2024)

Price target decreased by 7.4% to PK₨160

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of PK₨11.50 per share

Now 21% undervalued

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

The Hub Power Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, Sep 30, 2024

The Hub Power Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, Sep 30, 2024

Price target increased by 7.4% to PK₨163

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11%

Price target increased by 9.1% to PK₨152

The Hub Power Company Limited (KASE:HUBC) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire 9.5% stake in Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company Limited from Habib Bank Limited, Investment Arm for PKR 7.1 billion.

Now 20% undervalued

Price target increased by 8.3% to PK₨141

Now 24% undervalued

Price target increased by 7.5% to PK₨127

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

New major risk - Financial position

Upcoming dividend of PK₨6.00 per share at 27% yield

Upcoming dividend of PK₨2.75 per share at 30% yield

Upcoming dividend of PK₨5.75 per share at 29% yield

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

The Hub Power Company Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes, Effective January 09, 2023

The Hub Power Company Limited Announces Board Changes

The Hub Power Company Limited Announces the Resignation of Ejaz Sanjrani from the Board

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

The Hub Power Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 05, 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Less than half of directors are independent

Second quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upcoming dividend of PK₨6.50 per share

First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS PK₨5.72 (vs PK₨6.28 in 1Q 2021)

Less than half of directors are independent

Upcoming dividend of PK₨5.00 per share

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨25.97 (vs PK₨19.31 in FY 2020)

Company Secretary and Head of Legal & Public Relations Sohail Kassamali has left the company

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨6.61 (vs PK₨5.55 in 3Q 2020)

Consensus forecasts updated

Upcoming dividend of PK₨3.00 per share

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨6.32 (vs PK₨4.23 in 2Q 2020)

Revenue and earnings beat expectations

Analysts update estimates

Shareholder Returns

Price Volatility

About the Company

The Hub Power Company Limited Fundamentals Summary

2.5x

1.4x

Earnings & Revenue

Dividends

14.3%

27%