Lucky Cement Limited

KASE:LUCK Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨293.6b

Lucky Cement Valuation

Is LUCK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LUCK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LUCK (PKR1001.93) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PKR1213.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LUCK is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUCK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LUCK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.8x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LUCK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LUCK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.5x
BWCL Bestway Cement
12.1xn/aPK₨179.0b
FCCL Fauji Cement
9.4x23.2%PK₨83.2b
KOHC Kohat Cement
8.3xn/aPK₨84.2b
CHCC Cherat Cement
8x12.7%PK₨55.0b
LUCK Lucky Cement
4.5x15.2%PK₨293.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LUCK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LUCK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LUCK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the Asian Basic Materials industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LUCK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LUCK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.5x
Fair PE Ratio7.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LUCK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LUCK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentPK₨1,001.93
PK₨1,181.40
+17.9%
10.8%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a5
Nov ’25PK₨922.41
PK₨1,181.40
+28.1%
10.8%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a5
Oct ’25PK₨889.42
PK₨1,181.40
+32.8%
10.8%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a5
Sep ’25PK₨829.78
PK₨1,159.50
+39.7%
10.9%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a6
Aug ’25PK₨880.74
PK₨1,109.56
+26.0%
10.1%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a7
Jul ’25PK₨898.99
PK₨1,078.77
+20.0%
6.3%PK₨1,170.30PK₨945.00n/a8
Jun ’25PK₨898.85
PK₨1,078.77
+20.0%
6.3%PK₨1,170.30PK₨945.00n/a8
May ’25PK₨837.65
PK₨1,074.90
+28.3%
7.1%PK₨1,170.30PK₨914.00n/a8
Apr ’25PK₨756.65
PK₨1,049.91
+38.8%
9.6%PK₨1,170.30PK₨850.00n/a9
Mar ’25PK₨747.07
PK₨1,049.91
+40.5%
9.6%PK₨1,170.30PK₨850.00n/a9
Feb ’25PK₨727.13
PK₨1,049.91
+44.4%
9.6%PK₨1,170.30PK₨850.00n/a9
Jan ’25PK₨810.68
PK₨908.33
+12.0%
17.5%PK₨1,170.30PK₨728.00n/a7
Dec ’24PK₨818.48
PK₨799.67
-2.3%
9.1%PK₨930.00PK₨720.00n/a6
Nov ’24PK₨638.05
PK₨786.99
+23.3%
8.6%PK₨930.00PK₨720.00PK₨922.418
Oct ’24PK₨564.34
PK₨756.99
+34.1%
5.4%PK₨850.00PK₨720.00PK₨889.428
Sep ’24PK₨555.20
PK₨747.64
+34.7%
4.2%PK₨800.00PK₨703.20PK₨829.788
Aug ’24PK₨592.36
PK₨735.15
+24.1%
8.8%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨880.7410
Jul ’24PK₨522.09
PK₨726.50
+39.2%
9.3%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨898.9911
Jun ’24PK₨516.62
PK₨720.07
+39.4%
10.1%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨898.8511
May ’24PK₨401.17
PK₨708.75
+76.7%
10.1%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨837.6511
Apr ’24PK₨402.44
PK₨698.30
+73.5%
11.3%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨756.6511
Mar ’24PK₨407.92
PK₨710.59
+74.2%
10.3%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨747.0711
Feb ’24PK₨405.07
PK₨703.12
+73.6%
10.5%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨727.1311
Jan ’24PK₨446.58
PK₨887.46
+98.7%
12.0%PK₨1,116.00PK₨710.00PK₨810.689
Dec ’23PK₨468.86
PK₨860.31
+83.5%
15.1%PK₨1,116.00PK₨616.00PK₨818.4810
Nov ’23PK₨492.37
PK₨865.56
+75.8%
14.4%PK₨1,116.00PK₨616.00PK₨638.0511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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