Lucky Cement Limited

KASE:LUCK Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨326.9b

Lucky Cement Valuation

Is LUCK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LUCK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LUCK (PKR1064) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PKR149.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LUCK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUCK?

Key metric: As LUCK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LUCK. This is calculated by dividing LUCK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LUCK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.7x
EarningsPK₨65.78b
Market CapPK₨326.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LUCK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LUCK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.3x
BWCL Bestway Cement
13.4xn/aPK₨204.0b
FCCL Fauji Cement
9.7x21.0%PK₨89.3b
KOHC Kohat Cement
7.3xn/aPK₨76.5b
MLCF Maple Leaf Cement Factory
6.8xn/aPK₨46.9b
LUCK Lucky Cement
4.7xn/aPK₨326.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LUCK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (9.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LUCK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Basic Materials Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LUCK 4.7xIndustry Avg. 17.6xNo. of Companies43PE01632486480+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LUCK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the Asian Basic Materials industry average (17.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LUCK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LUCK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LUCK's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LUCK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentPK₨1,064.00
PK₨1,241.75
+16.7%
4.3%PK₨1,319.00PK₨1,172.00n/a4
Dec ’25PK₨1,019.55
PK₨1,182.40
+16.0%
10.8%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a5
Nov ’25PK₨922.41
PK₨1,181.40
+28.1%
10.8%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a5
Oct ’25PK₨889.42
PK₨1,181.40
+32.8%
10.8%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a5
Sep ’25PK₨829.78
PK₨1,159.50
+39.7%
10.9%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a6
Aug ’25PK₨880.74
PK₨1,109.56
+26.0%
10.1%PK₨1,319.00PK₨945.00n/a7
Jul ’25PK₨898.99
PK₨1,078.77
+20.0%
6.3%PK₨1,170.30PK₨945.00n/a8
Jun ’25PK₨898.85
PK₨1,078.77
+20.0%
6.3%PK₨1,170.30PK₨945.00n/a8
May ’25PK₨837.65
PK₨1,074.90
+28.3%
7.1%PK₨1,170.30PK₨914.00n/a8
Apr ’25PK₨756.65
PK₨1,049.91
+38.8%
9.6%PK₨1,170.30PK₨850.00n/a9
Mar ’25PK₨747.07
PK₨1,049.91
+40.5%
9.6%PK₨1,170.30PK₨850.00n/a9
Feb ’25PK₨727.13
PK₨1,049.91
+44.4%
9.6%PK₨1,170.30PK₨850.00n/a9
Jan ’25PK₨810.68
PK₨908.33
+12.0%
17.5%PK₨1,170.30PK₨728.00n/a7
Dec ’24PK₨818.48
PK₨799.67
-2.3%
9.1%PK₨930.00PK₨720.00PK₨1,019.556
Nov ’24PK₨638.05
PK₨786.99
+23.3%
8.6%PK₨930.00PK₨720.00PK₨922.418
Oct ’24PK₨564.34
PK₨756.99
+34.1%
5.4%PK₨850.00PK₨720.00PK₨889.428
Sep ’24PK₨555.20
PK₨747.64
+34.7%
4.2%PK₨800.00PK₨703.20PK₨829.788
Aug ’24PK₨592.36
PK₨735.15
+24.1%
8.8%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨880.7410
Jul ’24PK₨522.09
PK₨726.50
+39.2%
9.3%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨898.9911
Jun ’24PK₨516.62
PK₨720.07
+39.4%
10.1%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨898.8511
May ’24PK₨401.17
PK₨708.75
+76.7%
10.1%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨837.6511
Apr ’24PK₨402.44
PK₨698.30
+73.5%
11.3%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨756.6511
Mar ’24PK₨407.92
PK₨710.59
+74.2%
10.3%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨747.0711
Feb ’24PK₨405.07
PK₨703.12
+73.6%
10.5%PK₨840.00PK₨595.40PK₨727.1311
Jan ’24PK₨446.58
PK₨887.46
+98.7%
12.0%PK₨1,116.00PK₨710.00PK₨810.689
Dec ’23PK₨468.86
PK₨860.31
+83.5%
15.1%PK₨1,116.00PK₨616.00PK₨818.4810

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 13:20
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lucky Cement Limited is covered by 30 analysts. 0 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rabia Asif RathoreAba Ali Habib Securities (Private) Limited
null nullAKD Research
Muhammad Amad Bin AamirArif Habib Limited