Maple Leaf Cement Factory Limited

KASE:MLCF Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨120.7b

Maple Leaf Cement Factory Valuation

Is MLCF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of MLCF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: MLCF (PKR115.19) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (PKR98.8)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: MLCF is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MLCF?

Key metric: As MLCF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MLCF. This is calculated by dividing MLCF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MLCF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.4x
EarningsPK₨12.89b
Market CapPK₨120.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MLCF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MLCF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.9x
DGKC D.G. Khan Cement
9.3x16.04%PK₨98.2b
FCCL Fauji Cement
10.5x20.53%PK₨139.9b
KOHC Kohat Cement
8.9x12.22%PK₨99.1b
PIOC Pioneer Cement
14.9x17.52%PK₨76.6b
MLCF Maple Leaf Cement Factory
9.4x8.50%PK₨120.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MLCF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MLCF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Basic Materials Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MLCF 9.4xIndustry Avg. 15.1xNo. of Companies49PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MLCF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the Asian Basic Materials industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MLCF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MLCF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.4x
Fair PE Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MLCF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MLCF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentPK₨115.19
PK₨144.13
+25.12%
13.42%PK₨167.00PK₨102.00n/a8
Jan ’27PK₨118.05
PK₨142.67
+20.86%
13.12%PK₨160.00PK₨102.00n/a7
Dec ’26PK₨105.30
PK₨130.63
+24.06%
10.69%PK₨141.80PK₨102.00n/a6
Nov ’26PK₨95.89
PK₨119.16
+24.27%
23.44%PK₨141.80PK₨72.00n/a5
Oct ’26PK₨108.59
PK₨119.16
+9.73%
23.44%PK₨141.80PK₨72.00n/a5
Sep ’26PK₨104.83
PK₨91.20
-13.00%
30.72%PK₨140.00PK₨60.00n/a5
Aug ’26PK₨82.71
PK₨71.33
-13.75%
12.61%PK₨82.00PK₨60.00n/a3
Jul ’26PK₨83.45
PK₨67.17
-19.51%
12.47%PK₨82.00PK₨59.00n/a6
Jun ’26PK₨77.83
PK₨67.71
-13.00%
11.62%PK₨82.00PK₨59.00n/a7
May ’26PK₨67.05
PK₨67.71
+0.99%
11.62%PK₨82.00PK₨59.00n/a7
Apr ’26PK₨59.66
PK₨67.71
+13.50%
11.62%PK₨82.00PK₨59.00n/a7
Mar ’26PK₨53.16
PK₨65.43
+23.08%
13.12%PK₨82.00PK₨56.00n/a7
Feb ’26PK₨44.85
PK₨62.67
+39.73%
9.10%PK₨71.00PK₨56.00PK₨115.196
Jan ’26PK₨50.33
PK₨60.00
+19.21%
8.55%PK₨71.00PK₨56.00PK₨118.056
Dec ’25PK₨40.78
PK₨52.67
+29.15%
11.74%PK₨58.00PK₨44.00PK₨105.303
Nov ’25PK₨38.78
PK₨51.00
+31.51%
11.93%PK₨58.00PK₨44.00PK₨95.894
Oct ’25PK₨33.69
PK₨53.33
+58.31%
9.84%PK₨58.00PK₨46.00PK₨108.593
Sep ’25PK₨32.61
PK₨53.77
+64.89%
8.37%PK₨59.40PK₨46.00PK₨104.837
Aug ’25PK₨35.05
PK₨54.55
+55.63%
8.59%PK₨60.00PK₨46.00PK₨82.718
Jul ’25PK₨37.77
PK₨54.71
+44.85%
8.17%PK₨60.00PK₨46.00PK₨83.459
Jun ’25PK₨38.48
PK₨54.71
+42.18%
8.17%PK₨60.00PK₨46.00PK₨77.839
May ’25PK₨36.14
PK₨54.71
+51.39%
8.17%PK₨60.00PK₨46.00PK₨67.059
Apr ’25PK₨35.24
PK₨55.80
+58.34%
6.15%PK₨60.00PK₨50.00PK₨59.668
Mar ’25PK₨38.50
PK₨55.93
+45.26%
6.24%PK₨60.00PK₨50.00PK₨53.168
Feb ’25PK₨37.92
PK₨56.20
+48.21%
6.20%PK₨60.00PK₨50.00PK₨44.855
PK₨144.13
Fair Value
20.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/01 06:56
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/30 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Maple Leaf Cement Factory Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullAKD Research
Usama Rauf GurmaniAKD Research
null nullAkseer Research (Pvt.) Limited