Philip Morris (Pakistan) Valuation

Is PMPK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PMPK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PMPK (PKR799.74) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PKR7.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PMPK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PMPK?

Key metric: As PMPK is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PMPK. This is calculated by dividing PMPK's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PMPK's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	2x
Sales	PK₨25.07b
Market Cap	PK₨49.25b

PMPK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-311.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PMPK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PMPK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.1x
PAKT Pakistan Tobacco	2.6x	n/a	PK₨316.4b
KHTC Khyber Tobacco	0.5x	n/a	PK₨1.8b
UNITY Unity Foods	0.4x	n/a	PK₨32.8b
RMPL Rafhan Maize Products	1.1x	n/a	PK₨74.0b
PMPK Philip Morris (Pakistan)	2x	n/a	PK₨49.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PMPK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PMPK's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Tobacco Industry?

5 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

5 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PMPK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the Asian Tobacco industry average (2.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PMPK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PMPK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	2x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PMPK's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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