AREIT Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of AREIT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AREIT (₱37.6) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (₱39.53)

Is AREIT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AREIT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AREIT (₱37.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₱39.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AREIT is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AREIT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for AREIT. This is calculated by dividing AREIT's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is AREIT's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	₱89.53b

AREIT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	11.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	15.7x
PEG Ratio	0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AREIT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AREIT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	7.7x
RCR RL Commercial REIT	5.4x	-15.1%	₱61.6b
DDMPR DDMP REIT	1.9x	n/a	₱18.2b
FILRT Filinvest REIT	9.8x	0.9%	₱15.0b
CREIT Citicore Energy REIT	13.7x	2.0%	₱19.8b
AREIT AREIT	15.2x	18.6%	₱89.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AREIT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the peer average (7.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AREIT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Office REITs Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	9.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	9.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AREIT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the Asian Office REITs industry average (18.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AREIT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AREIT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	15.2x
Fair PE Ratio	13.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AREIT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AREIT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	₱37.60	₱41.54 +10.5%	12.5%	₱46.60	₱32.20	n/a	5
Sep ’25	₱38.50	₱41.54 +7.9%	12.5%	₱46.60	₱32.20	n/a	5
Aug ’25	₱38.00	₱41.54 +9.3%	12.5%	₱46.60	₱32.20	n/a	5
Jul ’25	₱34.45	₱40.28 +16.9%	12.6%	₱45.20	₱32.20	n/a	4
Jun ’25	₱33.20	₱45.90 +38.3%	13.1%	₱54.00	₱39.70	n/a	3
May ’25	₱34.70	₱46.08 +32.8%	11.3%	₱54.00	₱39.70	n/a	4
Apr ’25	₱35.15	₱47.25 +34.4%	8.5%	₱54.00	₱44.00	n/a	4
Mar ’25	₱34.70	₱48.13 +38.7%	8.7%	₱54.00	₱44.40	n/a	3
Feb ’25	₱32.60	₱48.13 +47.6%	8.7%	₱54.00	₱44.40	n/a	3
Jan ’25	₱33.40	₱44.88 +34.4%	12.4%	₱54.00	₱36.70	n/a	5
Dec ’24	₱30.45	₱44.25 +45.3%	11.6%	₱54.00	₱36.70	n/a	6
Nov ’24	₱32.80	₱44.38 +35.3%	11.9%	₱54.00	₱36.70	n/a	6
Oct ’24	₱32.80	₱44.38 +35.3%	11.9%	₱54.00	₱36.70	n/a	6
Sep ’24	₱33.00	₱44.38 +34.5%	11.9%	₱54.00	₱36.70	₱38.50	6
Aug ’24	₱33.20	₱44.38 +33.7%	11.9%	₱54.00	₱36.70	₱38.00	6
Jul ’24	₱34.70	₱44.38 +27.9%	11.9%	₱54.00	₱36.70	₱34.45	6
Jun ’24	₱32.90	₱43.85 +33.3%	13.2%	₱51.00	₱33.50	₱33.20	6
May ’24	₱33.70	₱43.36 +28.7%	12.9%	₱51.00	₱33.50	₱34.70	7
Apr ’24	₱32.65	₱43.36 +32.8%	12.9%	₱51.00	₱33.50	₱35.15	7
Mar ’24	₱35.95	₱43.33 +20.5%	13.2%	₱50.10	₱33.50	₱34.70	6
Feb ’24	₱35.90	₱45.32 +26.2%	10.0%	₱51.50	₱39.40	₱32.60	5
Jan ’24	₱35.40	₱45.23 +27.8%	9.2%	₱51.50	₱39.40	₱33.40	6
Dec ’23	₱35.50	₱45.23 +27.4%	9.2%	₱51.50	₱39.40	₱30.45	6
Nov ’23	₱31.00	₱44.67 +44.1%	10.3%	₱51.50	₱37.00	₱32.80	6
Oct ’23	₱34.00	₱46.19 +35.8%	6.7%	₱51.50	₱42.00	₱32.80	6
Sep ’23	₱38.40	₱48.57 +26.5%	7.0%	₱53.72	₱44.20	₱33.00	6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.