RL Commercial REIT Valuation

Is RCR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RCR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RCR (₱5.92) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₱4.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RCR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RCR?

Key metric: As RCR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RCR. This is calculated by dividing RCR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RCR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.4x
Earnings₱12.50b
Market Cap₱93.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RCR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RCR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.9x
AREIT AREIT
19.5x16.5%₱128.4b
DDMPR DDMP REIT
1.9xn/a₱18.0b
FILRT Filinvest REIT
9.4x1.7%₱14.8b
BIRET Brookfield India Real Estate Trust
104.7x44.0%₹131.4b
RCR RL Commercial REIT
7.4x-16.0%₱93.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RCR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the peer average (33.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RCR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Office REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RCR 7.4xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RCR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the Asian Office REITs industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RCR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RCR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.4x
Fair PE Ratio10.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RCR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RCR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₱5.92
₱6.98
+17.9%
11.7%₱8.10₱5.64n/a5
Nov ’25₱5.98
₱6.98
+16.7%
11.7%₱8.10₱5.64n/a5
Oct ’25₱6.05
₱6.98
+15.3%
11.7%₱8.10₱5.64n/a5
Sep ’25₱5.79
₱6.88
+18.8%
10.0%₱7.60₱5.64n/a5
Aug ’25₱5.62
₱6.88
+22.4%
10.0%₱7.60₱5.64n/a5
Jul ’25₱5.21
₱6.88
+32.0%
10.0%₱7.60₱5.64n/a5
Jun ’25₱5.00
₱7.03
+40.5%
4.1%₱7.40₱6.70n/a4
May ’25₱5.12
₱7.03
+37.2%
4.1%₱7.40₱6.70n/a4
Apr ’25₱5.06
₱7.17
+41.6%
11.1%₱8.00₱6.10n/a3
Mar ’25₱5.31
₱7.17
+35.0%
11.1%₱8.00₱6.10n/a3
Feb ’25₱5.35
₱7.17
+34.0%
11.1%₱8.00₱6.10n/a3
Jan ’25₱4.89
₱7.58
+54.9%
8.6%₱8.30₱6.60n/a4
Dec ’24₱4.64
₱7.28
+56.9%
11.4%₱8.30₱6.10n/a5
Nov ’24₱4.74
₱7.08
+49.4%
10.6%₱8.30₱6.10₱5.986
Oct ’24₱4.90
₱7.08
+44.6%
10.6%₱8.30₱6.10₱6.056
Sep ’24₱5.13
₱7.08
+38.1%
10.6%₱8.30₱6.10₱5.796
Aug ’24₱5.30
₱7.08
+33.6%
10.6%₱8.30₱6.10₱5.626
Jul ’24₱5.80
₱7.13
+23.0%
11.1%₱8.30₱6.10₱5.216
Jun ’24₱5.70
₱7.24
+27.0%
11.6%₱8.30₱6.00₱5.005
May ’24₱5.77
₱7.24
+25.5%
11.6%₱8.30₱6.00₱5.125
Apr ’24₱5.80
₱7.24
+24.8%
11.6%₱8.30₱6.00₱5.065
Mar ’24₱5.50
₱7.24
+31.6%
11.6%₱8.30₱6.00₱5.315
Feb ’24₱6.02
₱7.53
+25.0%
8.5%₱8.30₱6.60₱5.354
Jan ’24₱5.85
₱7.48
+27.8%
8.3%₱8.30₱6.60₱4.894
Dec ’23₱5.74
₱7.48
+30.2%
8.3%₱8.30₱6.60₱4.644
Nov ’23₱5.04
₱7.42
+47.2%
9.4%₱8.30₱6.37₱4.744

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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