Petron Valuation

Is PRF4C undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRF4C when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PRF4C (₱1000) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₱237.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRF4C is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRF4C?

Key metric: As PRF4C is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PRF4C. This is calculated by dividing PRF4C's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PRF4C's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.6x
Earnings₱2.01b
Market Cap₱23.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PRF4C's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PRF4C vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.3x
SHLPH Shell Pilipinas
127.1xn/a₱14.2b
PPC Pryce
7.1xn/a₱19.6b
SCC Semirara Mining and Power
6.4x-4.2%₱135.0b
PERC PetroEnergy Resources
4.5xn/a₱2.1b
PRF4C Petron
11.6x40.4%₱23.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PRF4C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (36.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PRF4C's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PRF4C 11.6xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies36PE0816243240+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PRF4C is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRF4C's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRF4C PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ratio10.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PRF4C is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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