Vector Limited

NZSE:VCT Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$4.9b

Vector Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Vector is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.6% and 6.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.8% in 3 years.

Key information

16.6%

Earnings growth rate

17.60%

EPS growth rate

Integrated Utilities earnings growth11.9%
Revenue growth rate6.5%
Future return on equity8.84%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated02 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

VCT: Future Fair Value View Will Rely On Stable Distribution Volumes

Analysts have maintained their NZ$4.98 price target on Vector, citing unchanged assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the basis for keeping their outlook steady. What's in the News Vector plans to change its external auditor, with PwC appointed for the 2027 financial year starting July 1, 2026, following an Audit Committee led tender process, while KPMG will complete the 2026 audit (Key Developments).

VCT: Future Fair Value View Will Rely On Stable Distribution Volumes

Analysts have kept their NZ$4.98 price target for Vector unchanged. This reflects steady assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.

VCT: Future Fair Value View Will Reflect Stable Network Volumes

Analysts have kept their NZ$ fair value estimate for Vector unchanged, reflecting consistent assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that support a steady price target outlook. What's in the News Vector reported unaudited operating results for the six months ended 31 December 2025, providing investors with updated data on its electricity and gas distribution activities (company announcement).

VCT: Fair Value View Will Reflect Shifts In Network Volumes

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Vector from NZ$4.77 to NZ$4.98, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Vector reported unaudited operating results for the six months ended 31 December 2025, providing a fresh look at recent activity across its networks (company announcement).

Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Not Flying Under The Radar

Jan 19
Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Not Flying Under The Radar

Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Shares Could Be 24% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Nov 04
Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Shares Could Be 24% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Here's Why Vector (NZSE:VCT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Oct 09
Here's Why Vector (NZSE:VCT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Bluecurrent's Smart Meter Rollout And DPP4 Will Create Future Opportunities

The notable rise in Vector's analyst price target reflects upgraded revenue growth expectations and a higher future P/E multiple, lifting the fair value estimate from NZ$4.50 to NZ$4.77. What's in the News Electricity customer base grew to 632,106 from 624,330 year-over-year.

Is There An Opportunity With Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) 30% Undervaluation?

Jun 30
Is There An Opportunity With Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) 30% Undervaluation?

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) P/E Ratio

May 05
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) P/E Ratio

Is Vector (NZSE:VCT) A Risky Investment?

Mar 21
Is Vector (NZSE:VCT) A Risky Investment?
User avatar

Investments In Digital Solutions And Alliances With Amazon Web Services And X Will Improve Future Network Capabilities

Strategic alliances and technological investments are set to enhance network capabilities, leading to increased revenue and improved future earnings.

Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Not Flying Under The Radar

Jan 17
Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Not Flying Under The Radar

Is Vector (NZSE:VCT) A Risky Investment?

Dec 10
Is Vector (NZSE:VCT) A Risky Investment?

Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.1475

Aug 29
Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.1475

Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Outlook

Aug 28
Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Outlook

With Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

Aug 16
With Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Jun 28
Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Is Vector (NZSE:VCT) Using Too Much Debt?

May 07
Is Vector (NZSE:VCT) Using Too Much Debt?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT)

Apr 12
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT)

Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of NZ$0.0925

Feb 29
Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of NZ$0.0925

Market Participants Recognise Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) Earnings

Feb 12
Market Participants Recognise Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) Earnings

Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 22% Below Its Share Price

Dec 20
Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 22% Below Its Share Price

These 4 Measures Indicate That Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Using Debt Extensively

Oct 26
These 4 Measures Indicate That Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Using Debt Extensively

Are Investors Undervaluing Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) By 41%?

Jul 07
Are Investors Undervaluing Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) By 41%?

The Returns At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Aren't Growing

Apr 10
The Returns At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Aren't Growing

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT)

Feb 09
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT)

Here's Why Vector (NZSE:VCT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Dec 16
Here's Why Vector (NZSE:VCT) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT)

Nov 05
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT)

The Returns At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Aren't Growing

Oct 18
The Returns At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Aren't Growing

Vector (NZSE:VCT) Will Pay A Dividend Of NZ$0.0895

Aug 29
Vector (NZSE:VCT) Will Pay A Dividend Of NZ$0.0895

Vector (NZSE:VCT) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Jul 19
Vector (NZSE:VCT) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Slowing Rates Of Return At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Apr 14
Slowing Rates Of Return At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of NZ$0.087

Feb 28
Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of NZ$0.087

Is There An Opportunity With Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) 41% Undervaluation?

Feb 13
Is There An Opportunity With Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) 41% Undervaluation?

Returns At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Nov 27
Returns At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Appear To Be Weighed Down

These 4 Measures Indicate That Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Using Debt Extensively

Nov 04
These 4 Measures Indicate That Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Using Debt Extensively

Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Shares Could Be 37% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Sep 30
Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Shares Could Be 37% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.09

Aug 26
Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.09

Slowing Rates Of Return At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Leave Little Room For Excitement

May 10
Slowing Rates Of Return At Vector (NZSE:VCT) Leave Little Room For Excitement

These 4 Measures Indicate That Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Using Debt Extensively

Apr 06
These 4 Measures Indicate That Vector (NZSE:VCT) Is Using Debt Extensively

Does Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Have A Place In Your Dividend Stock Portfolio?

Mar 19
Does Vector Limited (NZSE:VCT) Have A Place In Your Dividend Stock Portfolio?

Should You Be Worried About Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) 5.2% Return On Equity?

Mar 01
Should You Be Worried About Vector Limited's (NZSE:VCT) 5.2% Return On Equity?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NZSE:VCT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20281,2792741886584
6/30/20271,2162561696484
6/30/20261,1672271025614
12/31/20251,138150129563N/A
9/30/20251,12115285539N/A
6/30/20251,10415540515N/A
3/31/20251,08716534525N/A
12/31/20241,07117527534N/A
9/30/20241,042125-8490N/A
6/30/20241,01376-44445N/A
3/31/20241,02066-91445N/A
12/31/20231,02657-138445N/A
9/30/20231,05479-130481N/A
6/30/20231,083101-122517N/A
3/31/20231,08989-106506N/A
12/31/20221,09578-91495N/A
9/30/20221,09989-66507N/A
6/30/20221,103101-40519N/A
3/31/20221,152139-19515N/A
12/31/20211,2001773511N/A
9/30/20211,240185-7505N/A
6/30/20211,279193-17499N/A
3/31/20211,261155-57457N/A
12/31/20201,242117-97415N/A
9/30/20201,268106-88406N/A
6/30/20201,29495-79397N/A
3/31/20201,31288-77390N/A
12/31/20191,33080-76383N/A
9/30/20191,32481N/A366N/A
6/30/20191,31983N/A348N/A
3/31/20191,330118N/A361N/A
12/31/20181,341153N/A373N/A
9/30/20181,335150N/A381N/A
6/30/20181,328148N/A390N/A
3/31/20181,303144N/A368N/A
12/31/20171,277140N/A346N/A
9/30/20171,252153N/A341N/A
6/30/20171,227166N/A336N/A
3/31/20171,203131N/A333N/A
12/31/20161,18097N/A329N/A
9/30/20161,16276N/A341N/A
6/30/20161,14556N/A352N/A
3/31/20161,13574N/A383N/A
12/31/20151,12591N/A415N/A
9/30/20151,13988N/A392N/A
6/30/20151,15385N/A369N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: VCT's forecast earnings growth (16.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.9%).

Earnings vs Market: VCT's earnings (16.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the NZ market (15.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: VCT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: VCT's revenue (6.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the NZ market (4.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: VCT's revenue (6.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: VCT's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/01 06:53
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vector Limited is covered by 7 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Grant SwanepoelDeutsche Bank
Andrew Harvey-GreenForsyth Barr Group Ltd.
Matthew HenryGoldman Sachs