Genesis Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Genesis Energy's revenue is forecast to decline at 4.3% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 6.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 4.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.9% in 3 years.

Key information

6.5%

Earnings growth rate

4.80%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth	8.3%
Revenue growth rate	-4.3%
Future return on equity	5.94%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	08 Jul 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Feb 26

Development Of Huntly Battery And Solar Farms Will Improve Sustainability But Face Cost Challenges

Feb 08 Flexible generation and renewable developments enhance energy security, diversify revenue streams, and stabilize costs by reducing reliance on volatile fuel sources.

Is Genesis Energy Limited (NZSE:GNE) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Dec 10

News Flash: Analysts Just Made A Notable Upgrade To Their Genesis Energy Limited (NZSE:GNE) Forecasts

Aug 22

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Genesis Energy Limited's (NZSE:GNE) P/E Ratio

Jul 19

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

May 27

Genesis Energy Limited's (NZSE:GNE) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Dec 26

Here's Why Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Dec 07

Genesis Energy's (NZSE:GNE) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Sep 09

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.1035

Aug 26

With EPS Growth And More, Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Makes An Interesting Case

Feb 14

Does Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 23

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Dec 02

Calculating The Fair Value Of Genesis Energy Limited (NZSE:GNE)

Oct 13

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Sep 19

Genesis Energy's (NZSE:GNE) Dividend Will Be Increased To NZ$0.1016

Sep 05

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.1016

Aug 22

Returns On Capital At Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Have Stalled

Jul 18

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jun 08

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.099

Mar 07

Return Trends At Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Aren't Appealing

Mar 03

These 4 Measures Indicate That Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Dec 28

Return Trends At Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Aren't Appealing

Nov 21

It Looks Like Shareholders Would Probably Approve Genesis Energy Limited's (NZSE:GNE) CEO Compensation Package

Oct 22

Genesis Energy's (NZSE:GNE) Dividend Will Be Increased To NZ$0.10

Sep 13

Genesis Energy's (NZSE:GNE) Dividend Will Be Increased To NZ$0.10

Aug 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NZSE:GNE - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2028	2,994	185	N/A	N/A	2
6/30/2027	3,291	142	N/A	407	4
6/30/2026	3,316	124	N/A	348	4
6/30/2025	3,447	123	N/A	286	4
12/31/2024	3,443	163	214	355	N/A
9/30/2024	3,245	147	251	398	N/A
6/30/2024	3,048	131	288	440	N/A
3/31/2024	2,819	110	284	424	N/A
12/31/2023	2,589	89	281	409	N/A
9/30/2023	2,482	142	308	416	N/A
6/30/2023	2,374	196	335	423	N/A
3/31/2023	2,493	239	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2022	2,611	283	281	363	N/A
9/30/2022	2,727	252	225	312	N/A
6/30/2022	2,842	222	168	262	N/A
3/31/2022	3,013	143	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2021	3,184	64	111	198	N/A
9/30/2021	3,203	48	172	259	N/A
6/30/2021	3,221	32	233	320	N/A
3/31/2021	2,949	60	263	355	N/A
12/31/2020	2,677	89	292	390	N/A
9/30/2020	2,634	67	252	349	N/A
6/30/2020	2,592	46	212	308	N/A
3/31/2020	2,633	32	205	302	N/A
12/31/2019	2,674	19	198	297	N/A
9/30/2019	2,687	39	209	304	N/A
6/30/2019	2,701	59	219	311	N/A
3/31/2019	2,576	50	219	310	N/A
12/31/2018	2,451	42	219	308	N/A
9/30/2018	2,377	31	N/A	319	N/A
6/30/2018	2,303	20	N/A	331	N/A
3/31/2018	2,251	64	N/A	326	N/A
12/31/2017	2,199	109	N/A	321	N/A
9/30/2017	2,075	114	N/A	285	N/A
6/30/2017	1,951	119	N/A	249	N/A
3/31/2017	1,943	152	N/A	269	N/A
12/31/2016	1,935	186	N/A	289	N/A
9/30/2016	1,973	185	N/A	307	N/A
6/30/2016	2,011	184	N/A	325	N/A
3/31/2016	2,041	128	N/A	335	N/A
12/31/2015	2,071	73	N/A	345	N/A
9/30/2015	2,085	89	N/A	332	N/A
6/30/2015	2,098	105	N/A	319	N/A
3/31/2015	2,099	101	N/A	297	N/A
12/31/2014	2,100	98	N/A	276	N/A
9/30/2014	2,052	73	N/A	290	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GNE's forecast earnings growth (6.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: GNE's earnings (6.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the NZ market (21.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GNE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GNE's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-4.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GNE's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.3% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GNE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/07/17 12:45
End of Day Share Price	2025/07/17 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Genesis Energy Limited is covered by 12 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Grant Swanepoel	Credit Suisse
Grant Swanepoel	Deutsche Bank
Graeme Moyse	Edison Investment Research

Genesis Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 22%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 28%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 38%

Recent updates

Insufficient new directors

Paul Zealand to Step Down from the Board of Genesis Energy, Effective 30 May 2025

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.084 per share

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

First half dividend of NZ$0.084 announced

First half 2025 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.065 (vs NZ$0.036 in 1H 2024)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 22%

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Development Of Huntly Battery And Solar Farms Will Improve Sustainability But Face Cost Challenges

Genesis Energy Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Feb 21, 2025

Now 22% overvalued

Is Genesis Energy Limited (NZSE:GNE) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Is Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) A Risky Investment?

Now 21% overvalued

Genesis Energy Limited (NZSE:GNE) signed an agreement to acquire 65% stake in ChargeNet NZ Limited for NZD 64 million.

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.082 per share

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Has Announced A Dividend Of NZ$0.0824

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of NZ$0.0824

News Flash: Analysts Just Made A Notable Upgrade To Their Genesis Energy Limited (NZSE:GNE) Forecasts

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Genesis Energy Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 15, 2024

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Genesis Energy Limited's (NZSE:GNE) P/E Ratio

Genesis Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 22, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Genesis Energy Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Genesis Energy Limited Provides Update to Kupe Ks-9 Commissioning

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.082 per share

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 28%

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.036 (vs NZ$0.14 in 1H 2023)

New major risk - Financial position

Genesis Energy Limited Announces Resignation of James Spence as Chief Financial Officer Effective from 24 May

Genesis Energy Limited's (NZSE:GNE) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Genesis Energy Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Feb 22, 2024

Here's Why Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Genesis Energy Limited Announces Executive Team Changes

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.10 per share at 7.1% yield

Genesis Energy's (NZSE:GNE) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 38%

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.1035

Genesis Energy Limited Announces Dividend the Six Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on October 6, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Genesis Energy Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 13, 2023

Genesis Appoints Edward Hyde as Chief Transformation & Technology Officer, Effective from 4 September 2023

Genesis Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 24, 2023

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.10 per share at 6.4% yield

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 15%, revenue downgraded

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.14 (vs NZ$0.081 in 1H 2022)

With EPS Growth And More, Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Makes An Interesting Case

Does Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Genesis Energy Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2023

Genesis Energy Limited Announces Executive Appointments

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Calculating The Fair Value Of Genesis Energy Limited (NZSE:GNE)

Now 20% undervalued

Genesis Energy Limited Appoints Warwick Hunt as Non-Executive Director

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.10 per share

Genesis Appoints Malcolm Johns as Chief Executive

Genesis Energy's (NZSE:GNE) Dividend Will Be Increased To NZ$0.1016

Genesis Energy Limited Announces Doug Mckay Intention to Retire as A Director on 30 September 2022

Genesis Energy (NZSE:GNE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.1016

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Genesis Energy Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on October 7, 2022